Golden Apple Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| GAPJ Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Golden Apple Oil on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000032 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Golden Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Golden Apple's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Golden Apple hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Golden Apple Oil from the perspective of Golden Apple response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Golden Apple Oil on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000032 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Golden Apple after-hype prediction price | USD 6.0E-5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Golden |
Golden Apple Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Golden price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Golden using various technical indicators. When you analyze Golden charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Golden Apple Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Golden Apple Oil on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000032, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000006, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Golden Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Golden Apple's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Golden Apple Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Golden Apple | Golden Apple Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Golden Apple Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Golden Apple's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Golden Apple's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000001 and 12.07, respectively. We have considered Golden Apple's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Golden Apple pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Golden Apple pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 99.6465 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.3167 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0019 |
Predictive Modules for Golden Apple
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Golden Apple Oil. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Golden Apple After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Golden Apple at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Golden Apple or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Golden Apple, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Golden Apple Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Golden Apple's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Golden Apple's historical news coverage. Golden Apple's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 12.07, respectively. We have considered Golden Apple's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Golden Apple is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Golden Apple Oil is based on 3 months time horizon.
Golden Apple Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Golden Apple is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Golden Apple backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Golden Apple, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.53 | 12.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.0001 | 0.00006 | 39.53 |
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Golden Apple Hype Timeline
Golden Apple Oil is currently traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Golden is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 6.0E-5. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -39.53%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -1.53%. The volatility of related hype on Golden Apple is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Golden Apple Oil had 1:50 split on the 6th of September 2005. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Golden Apple to cross-verify your projections.Golden Apple Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Golden Apple's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Golden Apple's future price movements. Getting to know how Golden Apple's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Golden Apple may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TBDYF | Gordon Creek Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BKEN | Bakken Energy Corp | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| XFLS | Xfuels Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PGPM | Pilgrim Petroleum | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HXPN | Harris Exploration | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NWUC | Nationwide Utilities | 0.00 | 6 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| STPJF | Southern Pacific Resource | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| DBRM | Daybreak Oil and | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| IONAF | Iona Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PSTRQ | PostRock Energy Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Golden Apple
For every potential investor in Golden, whether a beginner or expert, Golden Apple's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Golden Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Golden. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Golden Apple's price trends.Golden Apple Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Golden Apple pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Golden Apple could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Golden Apple by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Golden Apple Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Golden Apple pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Golden Apple shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Golden Apple pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Golden Apple Oil entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.0E-4 |
Golden Apple Risk Indicators
The analysis of Golden Apple's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Golden Apple's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting golden pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.84 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 11.69 | |||
| Variance | 136.74 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Golden Apple
The number of cover stories for Golden Apple depends on current market conditions and Golden Apple's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Golden Apple is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Golden Apple's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Golden Pink Sheet
Golden Apple financial ratios help investors to determine whether Golden Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Golden with respect to the benefits of owning Golden Apple security.