Golden Agri Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| GARPF Stock | USD 0.21 0.05 19.23% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Golden Agri Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 0.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.58. Golden Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Golden Agri's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 25th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Golden Agri's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Golden Agri hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Golden Agri Resources from the perspective of Golden Agri response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Golden Agri Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 0.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.58. Golden Agri after-hype prediction price | USD 0.21 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Golden |
Golden Agri Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Golden price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Golden using various technical indicators. When you analyze Golden charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Golden Agri Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Golden Agri Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 0.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.58.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Golden Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Golden Agri's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Golden Agri Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Golden Agri | Golden Agri Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Golden Agri Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Golden Agri's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Golden Agri's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 5.89, respectively. We have considered Golden Agri's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Golden Agri pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Golden Agri pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.1412 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0095 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0431 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.5795 |
Predictive Modules for Golden Agri
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Golden Agri Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Golden Agri After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Golden Agri at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Golden Agri or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Golden Agri, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Golden Agri Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Golden Agri's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Golden Agri's historical news coverage. Golden Agri's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 5.88, respectively. We have considered Golden Agri's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Golden Agri is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Golden Agri Resources is based on 3 months time horizon.
Golden Agri Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Golden Agri is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Golden Agri backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Golden Agri, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 5.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.21 | 0.21 | 0.00 |
|
Golden Agri Hype Timeline
Golden Agri Resources is currently traded for 0.21. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Golden is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Golden Agri is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.21. About 50.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.52. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Golden Agri Resources last dividend was issued on the 16th of November 2022. The entity had 2:1 split on the 20th of February 2008. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Golden Agri to cross-verify your projections.Golden Agri Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Golden Agri's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Golden Agri's future price movements. Getting to know how Golden Agri's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Golden Agri may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FSRCY | First Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| KLKBY | Kuala Lumpur Kepong | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 38.19 | |
| BKFKF | PF Bakkafrost | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.24 | (3.87) | 19.68 | |
| UPBMF | United Plantations Berhad | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.33 | |
| KNKZF | KWS SAAT SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 6.46 | |
| OLGPF | Olam Group Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 1.39 | (1.37) | 11.23 | |
| TSRYY | Treasury Wine Estates | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.69 | (2.74) | 15.53 | |
| LIOPF | Lion Corporation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| EBRPF | Ebro Foods SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FTROF | First Resources Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.65 |
Other Forecasting Options for Golden Agri
For every potential investor in Golden, whether a beginner or expert, Golden Agri's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Golden Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Golden. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Golden Agri's price trends.Golden Agri Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Golden Agri pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Golden Agri could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Golden Agri by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Golden Agri Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Golden Agri pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Golden Agri shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Golden Agri pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Golden Agri Resources entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.81 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.21 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.21 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.03) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.05) |
Golden Agri Risk Indicators
The analysis of Golden Agri's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Golden Agri's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting golden pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.69 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.49 | |||
| Variance | 30.14 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Golden Agri
The number of cover stories for Golden Agri depends on current market conditions and Golden Agri's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Golden Agri is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Golden Agri's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Other Information on Investing in Golden Pink Sheet
Golden Agri financial ratios help investors to determine whether Golden Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Golden with respect to the benefits of owning Golden Agri security.