Gase Energy Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

GASE Stock  USD 0.0002  0.00  0.00%   
Gase Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Gase Energy stock prices and determine the direction of Gase Energy's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Gase Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Gase Energy's share price is above 70 at the present time. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Gase, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 72

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Gase Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Gase Energy and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Gase Energy's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Gase Energy, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Gase Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gase Energy from the perspective of Gase Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Gase Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0002 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000508 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0003.

Gase Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.87E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gase Energy to cross-verify your projections.

Gase Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Gase price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gase using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gase charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Gase Energy works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Gase Energy Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Gase Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0002 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000508, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0003.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gase Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gase Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Gase Energy Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Gase Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Gase Energy's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gase Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000002 and 127.84, respectively. We have considered Gase Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0002
0.000002
Downside
0.0002
Expected Value
127.84
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gase Energy pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gase Energy pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors3.0E-4
When Gase Energy prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Gase Energy trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Gase Energy observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Gase Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gase Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gase Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000250.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000150.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00020.00020.0002
Details

Gase Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Gase Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gase Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Gase Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Gase Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Gase Energy's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gase Energy's historical news coverage. Gase Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 50.01, respectively. We have considered Gase Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0002
0.0002
After-hype Price
50.01
Upside
Gase Energy is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gase Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.

Gase Energy Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gase Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gase Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gase Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  14.52 
127.84
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0002
0.0002
6.44 
0.00  
Notes

Gase Energy Hype Timeline

Gase Energy is currently traded for 0.0002. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Gase is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.87E-4. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -6.44%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 14.52%. The volatility of related hype on Gase Energy is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Gase Energy had 56:1 split on the . Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gase Energy to cross-verify your projections.

Gase Energy Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Gase Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gase Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Gase Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gase Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SGTBKuboo Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.13  0.00  0.00  992.86 
QTCIQuantum Capital 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.11  13.51  0.00  350.68 
CWNOFChineseworldnetCom 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BOPOBiopower Operations Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BGPPFBGP Acquisition Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
EGDDEastern Goldfields 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.07  0.00  0.00  283.33 
NXTFFNextraction Energy Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BOTHBioethics 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 0.00  0.00  99.59 
ASPRAdsouth Partners 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CHWEChinawe 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Gase Energy

For every potential investor in Gase, whether a beginner or expert, Gase Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gase Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gase. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gase Energy's price trends.

Gase Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gase Energy pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gase Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gase Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Gase Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gase Energy pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gase Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gase Energy pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Gase Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Gase Energy

The number of cover stories for Gase Energy depends on current market conditions and Gase Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gase Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gase Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Gase Pink Sheet

Gase Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gase Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gase with respect to the benefits of owning Gase Energy security.