The Gabelli Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Regression

GAUCX Fund  USD 1.92  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of The Gabelli Utilities on the next trading day is expected to be 1.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. The Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through The Gabelli price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

The Gabelli Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of April

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of The Gabelli Utilities on the next trading day is expected to be 1.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict The Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that The Gabelli's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

The Gabelli Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Dec 20Dec 31Jan 10Jan 21Jan 29Feb 6Feb 14Feb 25Mar 5Mar 311.851.901.952.002.05
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Gabelli Utilities Gabelli Utilities forecast
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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of The Gabelli mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent The Gabelli mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria51.2566
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as The Gabelli Utilities historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for The Gabelli

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gabelli Utilities. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of The Gabelli's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.921.921.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.921.921.92
Details

The Gabelli Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with The Gabelli mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of The Gabelli could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing The Gabelli by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

The Gabelli Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how The Gabelli mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading The Gabelli shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying The Gabelli mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify The Gabelli Utilities entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in The Mutual Fund

The Gabelli financial ratios help investors to determine whether The Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in The with respect to the benefits of owning The Gabelli security.
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