The Gabelli Utilities Fund Market Value

GAUCX Fund  USD 2.30  0.07  0.00%   
The Gabelli's market value is the price at which a share of The Gabelli trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of The Gabelli Utilities investors about its performance.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of The Gabelli Utilities and determine expected loss or profit from investing in The Gabelli over a given investment horizon. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between The Gabelli's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if The Gabelli is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, The Gabelli's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

The Gabelli 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to The Gabelli's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of The Gabelli.
0.00
08/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in The Gabelli on August 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding The Gabelli Utilities or generate 0.0% return on investment in The Gabelli over 90 days. The Gabelli is related to or competes with Calamos Global, Dodge Cox, Touchstone International, and Doubleline Core. The investment seeks to provide a high level of total return through a combination of capital appreciation and current i... More

The Gabelli Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure The Gabelli's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess The Gabelli Utilities upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

The Gabelli Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for The Gabelli's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as The Gabelli's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use The Gabelli historical prices to predict the future The Gabelli's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of The Gabelli's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.921.921.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.921.921.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.921.921.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.921.921.92
Details

Gabelli Utilities Backtested Returns

We have found three technical indicators for The Gabelli Utilities, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. The entity has a beta of 0.0, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. the returns on MARKET and the Gabelli are completely uncorrelated.

Auto-correlation

    
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No correlation between past and present

The Gabelli Utilities has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between The Gabelli time series from 29th of August 2024 to 13th of October 2024 and 13th of October 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Gabelli Utilities price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current The Gabelli price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.0
Spearman Rank Test1.0
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Gabelli Utilities lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is The Gabelli mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting The Gabelli's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of The Gabelli returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that The Gabelli has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

The Gabelli regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If The Gabelli mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if The Gabelli mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in The Gabelli mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

The Gabelli Lagged Returns

When evaluating The Gabelli's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of The Gabelli mutual fund have on its future price. The Gabelli autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, The Gabelli autocorrelation shows the relationship between The Gabelli mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in The Gabelli Utilities.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in The Mutual Fund

The Gabelli financial ratios help investors to determine whether The Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in The with respect to the benefits of owning The Gabelli security.
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