Green Century Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

Green Century Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Green price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Green using various technical indicators. When you analyze Green charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Green Century simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Green Century Equity are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Green Century Equity prices get older.

Green Century Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Green Century Equity on the next trading day is expected to be 104.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57, mean absolute percentage error of 0.63, and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.97.

Green Century Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Green Century Price Prediction

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Green Century Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Green Century mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Green Century mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Green Century Equity forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Green Century observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Green Century

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Green Century Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 103.29 104.09 104.89 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 102.33 103.13 114.50 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 101.17 102.68 104.20 Details

Green Century After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Green Century Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Green Century Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Green Century Hype Timeline

Green Century Equity is currently traded for 104.09. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.46. Green is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 142.86%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Green Century is about 6.93%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 104.55. The company last dividend was issued on the 30th of December 1970. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Green Century to cross-verify your projections.

Green Century Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Green Century

For every potential investor in Green, whether a beginner or expert, Green Century's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Green Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Green. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Green Century's price trends.

Green Century Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Green Century Market Strength Events

Green Century Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Green Century

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Other Information on Investing in Green Mutual Fund