General Dynamics Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| GD Stock | USD 355.84 10.78 2.94% |
General Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast General Dynamics stock prices and determine the direction of General Dynamics's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of General Dynamics' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength indicator of General Dynamics' share price is at 52. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling General Dynamics, making its price go up or down. Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.158 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 4.1361 | EPS Estimate Current Year 15.407 | EPS Estimate Next Year 17.3074 | Wall Street Target Price 393.006 |
Using General Dynamics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of General Dynamics from the perspective of General Dynamics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards General Dynamics using General Dynamics' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards General using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of General Dynamics' stock price.
General Dynamics Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in General Dynamics' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards General. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of General Dynamics stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 316.2189 | Short Percent 0.0128 | Short Ratio 2.73 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.3 M | 50 Day MA 346.387 |
General Relative Strength Index
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of General Dynamics on the next trading day is expected to be 358.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 203.89.General Dynamics Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to General Dynamics' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in General. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding General can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around General Dynamics. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of General Dynamics' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about General Dynamics.
General Dynamics Implied Volatility | 0.58 |
General Dynamics' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of General Dynamics stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if General Dynamics' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that General Dynamics stock will not fluctuate a lot when General Dynamics' options are near their expiration.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of General Dynamics on the next trading day is expected to be 358.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 203.89. General Dynamics after-hype prediction price | USD 367.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of General Dynamics to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current General contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that General Dynamics will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0363% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With General Dynamics trading at USD 355.84, that is roughly USD 0.13 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating General Dynamics' daily price movement you should consider acquiring General Dynamics options at the current volatility level of 0.58%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 General Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast General Dynamics' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in General Dynamics' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for General Dynamics stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current General Dynamics' open interest, investors have to compare it to General Dynamics' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of General Dynamics is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in General. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
General Dynamics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine General price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for General using various technical indicators. When you analyze General charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
General Dynamics Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of General Dynamics on the next trading day is expected to be 358.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.46, mean absolute percentage error of 20.47, and the sum of the absolute errors of 203.89.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict General Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that General Dynamics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
General Dynamics Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest General Dynamics | General Dynamics Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
General Dynamics Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting General Dynamics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. General Dynamics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 357.18 and 359.68, respectively. We have considered General Dynamics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of General Dynamics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent General Dynamics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0117 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.4558 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.01 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 203.8902 |
Predictive Modules for General Dynamics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as General Dynamics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of General Dynamics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
General Dynamics After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of General Dynamics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in General Dynamics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of General Dynamics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
General Dynamics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting General Dynamics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on General Dynamics' historical news coverage. General Dynamics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 365.92 and 368.42, respectively. We have considered General Dynamics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
General Dynamics is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of General Dynamics is based on 3 months time horizon.
General Dynamics Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as General Dynamics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading General Dynamics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with General Dynamics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 1.25 | 0.55 | 0.56 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
355.84 | 367.17 | 0.15 |
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General Dynamics Hype Timeline
As of January 28, 2026 General Dynamics is listed for 355.84. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.55, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.56. General is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 367.17 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 27.17%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on General Dynamics is about 26.74%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 356.40. The company generated the yearly revenue of 47.72 B. Reported Net Income was 3.78 B with gross profit of 7.9 B. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of General Dynamics to cross-verify your projections.General Dynamics Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to General Dynamics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict General Dynamics' future price movements. Getting to know how General Dynamics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how General Dynamics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LHX | L3Harris Technologies | 3.34 | 8 per month | 1.07 | 0.17 | 3.09 | (2.27) | 7.10 | |
| URI | United Rentals | (4.28) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.90 | (3.19) | 8.83 | |
| FDX | FedEx | (4.14) | 8 per month | 0.61 | 0.24 | 2.61 | (1.59) | 7.76 | |
| CNI | Canadian National Railway | 1.48 | 9 per month | 1.16 | 0.01 | 2.27 | (1.65) | 6.71 | |
| TDG | Transdigm Group Incorporated | 38.28 | 8 per month | 0.87 | 0.05 | 1.95 | (1.73) | 5.06 | |
| CMI | Cummins | (4.25) | 8 per month | 1.06 | 0.25 | 2.87 | (2.27) | 9.83 | |
| HEI | Heico | 0.66 | 9 per month | 1.22 | 0.04 | 2.42 | (2.28) | 8.20 | |
| PCAR | PACCAR Inc | 4.38 | 8 per month | 0.78 | 0.15 | 3.68 | (1.63) | 7.16 | |
| PWR | Quanta Services | 6.60 | 6 per month | 2.60 | 0.03 | 3.37 | (5.43) | 9.84 |
Other Forecasting Options for General Dynamics
For every potential investor in General, whether a beginner or expert, General Dynamics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. General Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in General. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying General Dynamics' price trends.General Dynamics Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with General Dynamics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of General Dynamics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing General Dynamics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
General Dynamics Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how General Dynamics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading General Dynamics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying General Dynamics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify General Dynamics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 355.84 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 355.84 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (5.39) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (10.78) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 52.74 |
General Dynamics Risk Indicators
The analysis of General Dynamics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in General Dynamics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting general stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9645 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.17 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.28 | |||
| Variance | 1.63 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.79 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.37 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.99) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for General Dynamics
The number of cover stories for General Dynamics depends on current market conditions and General Dynamics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that General Dynamics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about General Dynamics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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General Dynamics Short Properties
General Dynamics' future price predictability will typically decrease when General Dynamics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of General Dynamics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential General Dynamics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. General Dynamics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 277.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.7 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of General Dynamics to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade General Stock refer to our How to Trade General Stock guide.You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Is Aerospace & Defense space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of General Dynamics. If investors know General will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about General Dynamics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.158 | Dividend Share 5.92 | Earnings Share 15.43 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.106 |
The market value of General Dynamics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of General that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of General Dynamics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is General Dynamics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because General Dynamics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect General Dynamics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between General Dynamics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if General Dynamics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, General Dynamics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.