Genesis Land Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

GDC Stock  CAD 3.23  0.04  1.22%   
Genesis Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Genesis Land's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Genesis Land's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Genesis Land fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Genesis Land's share price is approaching 49. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Genesis Land, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 49

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Genesis Land's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Genesis Land Development, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Genesis Land's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.28)
Wall Street Target Price
5.8
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.256
Using Genesis Land hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Genesis Land Development from the perspective of Genesis Land response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Genesis Land Development on the next trading day is expected to be 3.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.65.

Genesis Land after-hype prediction price

    
  CAD 3.23  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Genesis Land to cross-verify your projections.

Genesis Land Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Genesis price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Genesis using various technical indicators. When you analyze Genesis charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Genesis Land price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Genesis Land Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Genesis Land Development on the next trading day is expected to be 3.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.65.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Genesis Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Genesis Land's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Genesis Land Stock Forecast Pattern

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Genesis Land Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Genesis Land's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Genesis Land's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.00 and 5.50, respectively. We have considered Genesis Land's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.23
3.25
Expected Value
5.50
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Genesis Land stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Genesis Land stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.857
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0589
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0183
SAESum of the absolute errors3.6493
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Genesis Land Development historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Genesis Land

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Genesis Land Development. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.983.235.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.562.815.06
Details

Genesis Land After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Genesis Land at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Genesis Land or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Genesis Land, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Genesis Land Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Genesis Land's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Genesis Land's historical news coverage. Genesis Land's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.98 and 5.48, respectively. We have considered Genesis Land's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3.23
3.23
After-hype Price
5.48
Upside
Genesis Land is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Genesis Land Development is based on 3 months time horizon.

Genesis Land Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Genesis Land is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Genesis Land backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Genesis Land, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.04 
2.25
 0.00  
  0.01 
6 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3.23
3.23
0.00 
5,625  
Notes

Genesis Land Hype Timeline

Genesis Land Development is currently traded for 3.23on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Genesis is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Genesis Land is about 1618.71%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.22. About 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.65. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Genesis Land Development last dividend was issued on the 18th of November 2025. The entity had 1:30 split on the 9th of November 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Genesis Land to cross-verify your projections.

Genesis Land Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Genesis Land's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Genesis Land's future price movements. Getting to know how Genesis Land's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Genesis Land may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HMTHalmont Properties(0.05)6 per month 0.00 (0.07) 5.00 (4.76) 18.61 
FCD-UNFirm Capital Property(0.47)2 per month 0.68 (0) 1.15 (1.34) 3.21 
PKTParkit Enterprise(0.01)6 per month 2.98  0.02  7.14 (6.25) 19.09 
BREBridgemarq Real Estate(0.25)6 per month 1.31  0.01  2.42 (2.50) 8.08 
IVQInvesque 0.01 10 per month 4.83  0.04  9.09 (8.33) 43.75 
NET-UNCanadian Net Real 0.05 2 per month 0.46  0.17  1.64 (0.97) 4.64 
UFCUrbanfund Corp 0.00 3 per month 2.06  0.08  6.25 (3.61) 18.71 
KDSXKadestone Capital Corp(0.24)1 per month 0.00 (0.06) 7.27 (10.00) 40.33 
TNT-UNTrue North Commercial(0.47)2 per month 0.00 (0.15) 1.02 (1.33) 4.02 
IEIImperial Equities 0.04 5 per month 1.37 (0.01) 3.57 (2.30) 15.60 

Other Forecasting Options for Genesis Land

For every potential investor in Genesis, whether a beginner or expert, Genesis Land's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Genesis Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Genesis. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Genesis Land's price trends.

Genesis Land Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Genesis Land stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Genesis Land could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Genesis Land by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Genesis Land Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Genesis Land stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Genesis Land shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Genesis Land stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Genesis Land Development entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Genesis Land Risk Indicators

The analysis of Genesis Land's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Genesis Land's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting genesis stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Genesis Land

The number of cover stories for Genesis Land depends on current market conditions and Genesis Land's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Genesis Land is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Genesis Land's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Genesis Land Short Properties

Genesis Land's future price predictability will typically decrease when Genesis Land's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Genesis Land Development often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Genesis Land's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Genesis Land's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding56.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments21.4 M

Other Information on Investing in Genesis Stock

Genesis Land financial ratios help investors to determine whether Genesis Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Genesis with respect to the benefits of owning Genesis Land security.