Golden Heaven Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

GDHG Stock   1.65  0.06  3.77%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Golden Heaven Group on the next trading day is expected to be 1.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.22. Golden Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Golden Heaven's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Golden Heaven is based on an artificially constructed time series of Golden Heaven daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Golden Heaven 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Golden Heaven Group on the next trading day is expected to be 1.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34, mean absolute percentage error of 0.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.22.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Golden Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Golden Heaven's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Golden Heaven Stock Forecast Pattern

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Golden Heaven Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Golden Heaven's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Golden Heaven's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 8.55, respectively. We have considered Golden Heaven's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.65
1.63
Expected Value
8.55
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Golden Heaven stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Golden Heaven stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria102.2234
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.3007
MADMean absolute deviation0.3438
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1372
SAESum of the absolute errors18.2212
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Golden Heaven Group 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Golden Heaven

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Golden Heaven Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.678.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.588.56
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Golden Heaven. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Golden Heaven's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Golden Heaven's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Golden Heaven Group.

Other Forecasting Options for Golden Heaven

For every potential investor in Golden, whether a beginner or expert, Golden Heaven's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Golden Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Golden. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Golden Heaven's price trends.

Golden Heaven Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Golden Heaven stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Golden Heaven could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Golden Heaven by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Golden Heaven Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Golden Heaven's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Golden Heaven's current price.

Golden Heaven Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Golden Heaven stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Golden Heaven shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Golden Heaven stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Golden Heaven Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Golden Heaven Risk Indicators

The analysis of Golden Heaven's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Golden Heaven's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting golden stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Golden Heaven Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Golden Heaven's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Golden Heaven's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Golden Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Golden Heaven to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Golden Heaven. If investors know Golden will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Golden Heaven listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Golden Heaven Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Golden that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Golden Heaven's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Golden Heaven's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Golden Heaven's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Golden Heaven's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Golden Heaven's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Golden Heaven is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Golden Heaven's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.