GDI Property Stock Forward View

Key Indicators . Naive Prediction . Stocks . Australia . 
Stock . GDI Property Group
GDI Stock   0.60  0.00  0.00%   
GDI Property Group's Naive Prediction forecast is generated from the selected price series and evaluated against observed values. Forecast accuracy depends on how stable the recent price trend has been — trending markets suit some models better than others. The Naive Prediction model projects GDI Property at 0.59 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. All values shown are model-generated projections and should be evaluated alongside other analytical inputs.
A naive forecasting model for GDI Property is a special case of the moving average where the smoothing period is one. The forecast for GDI Property Group on a given trading day is simply the observed closing price of the previous period. Because it uses only a single lag, this model is limited to one-period-ahead forecasts.

Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of May 2026

Over a 90-day horizon, the Naive Prediction model forecasts GDI Property at 0.59 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.01 , and sum of absolute errors of 0.34 .
This represents a very tight forecast — the model closely tracks GDI Property's recent price behavior. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.

Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest GDI Property  GDI Property Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Forecasted Value

GDI Property's next-session forecast estimates practical downside and upside boundaries based on the model's historical fit. The forecast band spans 0.01 to 1.82. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.
Market Value
0.60
0.01
Downside
0.59
Expected Value
1.82
Upside
Target Odds

Model Predictive Factors

The table below summarizes the Naive Prediction model's error metrics for GDI Property stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.2414
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0055
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0091
SAESum of the absolute errors0.3378
The naive model produces a tight forecast range but offers no smoothing of noise or trend detection. It serves primarily as a baseline benchmark — if a more complex model cannot outperform the naive forecast, it may indicate that GDI Property price movements are largely random over the selected horizon.

Other Forecasting Options for GDI Property

Bollinger Bands applied to GDI Property Stock price data measure how far GDI Property has deviated from its recent average relative to its own volatility. This distinction drives the choice of forecasting model applied to GDI Property's price data.
Naive Prediction
Simple Exponential Smoothing
Double Exponential Smoothing
Triple Exponential Smoothing
Simple Regression
Polynomial Regression
Simple Moving Average
4 Period Moving Average
8 Period Moving Average
20 Period Moving Average

GDI Property Related Equities

These related stocks within the Real Estate space give benchmarks for judging GDI Property's results, margins, and growth trend. Key comparison metrics include price-to-earnings, profit margin, and revenue growth across GDI Property's peer group. How GDI Property ranks within this group can shift over time as the competitive picture changes. These checks provide a starting point for deeper study of GDI Property's strengths and weak spots.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

GDI Property Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators for GDI Property quantify how the stock responds to shifts in volume and sentiment. These indicators capture shifts in momentum that may precede significant price moves in GDI Property.
Rate Of Daily Change1.0
Day Median Price0.6
Day Typical Price0.6
Relative Strength Index49.86

GDI Property Risk Indicators

Analyzing GDI Property's risk indicators separates symmetric price swings from asymmetric downside exposure. Understanding and quantifying the risks present in GDI Property helps place recent price behavior in context.
Mean Deviation0.8078
Semi Deviation0.9156
Standard Deviation1.24
Variance1.53
Downside Variance2.88
Semi Variance0.8383
Expected Short fall-1.91
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

GDI Property Short Properties

Short-interest signals around GDI Property reveal whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. Comparing short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative provides a more grounded view.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding542.47 million
Cash And Short Term Investments15.19 million

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