GDI Integrated Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

GDIFF Stock  USD 26.37  5.04  23.63%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of GDI Integrated Facility on the next trading day is expected to be 26.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.10. GDI Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of GDI Integrated's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for GDI Integrated - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When GDI Integrated prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in GDI Integrated price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of GDI Integrated Facility.

GDI Integrated Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of GDI Integrated Facility on the next trading day is expected to be 26.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.50, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.10.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GDI Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GDI Integrated's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

GDI Integrated Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest GDI IntegratedGDI Integrated Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

GDI Integrated Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting GDI Integrated's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GDI Integrated's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 23.22 and 29.52, respectively. We have considered GDI Integrated's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
26.37
26.37
Expected Value
29.52
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GDI Integrated pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GDI Integrated pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1102
MADMean absolute deviation0.1712
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0074
SAESum of the absolute errors10.1
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past GDI Integrated observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older GDI Integrated Facility observations.

Predictive Modules for GDI Integrated

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GDI Integrated Facility. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.1926.3729.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.0229.2032.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
17.5120.9224.33
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as GDI Integrated. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against GDI Integrated's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, GDI Integrated's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in GDI Integrated Facility.

Other Forecasting Options for GDI Integrated

For every potential investor in GDI, whether a beginner or expert, GDI Integrated's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GDI Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GDI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GDI Integrated's price trends.

GDI Integrated Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GDI Integrated pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GDI Integrated could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GDI Integrated by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

GDI Integrated Facility Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of GDI Integrated's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of GDI Integrated's current price.

GDI Integrated Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GDI Integrated pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GDI Integrated shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GDI Integrated pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify GDI Integrated Facility entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

GDI Integrated Risk Indicators

The analysis of GDI Integrated's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GDI Integrated's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gdi pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in GDI Pink Sheet

GDI Integrated financial ratios help investors to determine whether GDI Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GDI with respect to the benefits of owning GDI Integrated security.