Gabelli Dividend Preferred Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

GDV-PH Preferred Stock  USD 24.57  0.03  0.12%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of The Gabelli Dividend on the next trading day is expected to be 24.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.42. Gabelli Preferred Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Gabelli Dividend's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Gabelli Dividend works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Gabelli Dividend Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of The Gabelli Dividend on the next trading day is expected to be 24.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.42.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gabelli Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gabelli Dividend's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Gabelli Dividend Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern

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Gabelli Dividend Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Gabelli Dividend's Preferred Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gabelli Dividend's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.15 and 24.99, respectively. We have considered Gabelli Dividend's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
24.57
24.57
Expected Value
24.99
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gabelli Dividend preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gabelli Dividend preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0076
MADMean absolute deviation0.0749
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.003
SAESum of the absolute errors4.4214
When The Gabelli Dividend prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any The Gabelli Dividend trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Gabelli Dividend observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Gabelli Dividend

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gabelli Dividend. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.1524.5724.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.0724.4824.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
24.4924.6224.74
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Gabelli Dividend

For every potential investor in Gabelli, whether a beginner or expert, Gabelli Dividend's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gabelli Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gabelli. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gabelli Dividend's price trends.

Gabelli Dividend Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gabelli Dividend preferred stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gabelli Dividend could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gabelli Dividend by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Gabelli Dividend Technical and Predictive Analytics

The preferred stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Gabelli Dividend's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Gabelli Dividend's current price.

Gabelli Dividend Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gabelli Dividend preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gabelli Dividend shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gabelli Dividend preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify The Gabelli Dividend entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Gabelli Dividend Risk Indicators

The analysis of Gabelli Dividend's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gabelli Dividend's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gabelli preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Gabelli Preferred Stock

Gabelli Dividend financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gabelli Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gabelli with respect to the benefits of owning Gabelli Dividend security.