General Dynamics Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| GDX Stock | 307.65 3.55 1.14% |
General Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The value of RSI of General Dynamics' share price is at 54. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling General Dynamics, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using General Dynamics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of General Dynamics from the perspective of General Dynamics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of General Dynamics on the next trading day is expected to be 301.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 140.57. General Dynamics after-hype prediction price | EUR 307.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
General |
General Dynamics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine General price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for General using various technical indicators. When you analyze General charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
General Dynamics Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of General Dynamics on the next trading day is expected to be 301.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.30, mean absolute percentage error of 8.63, and the sum of the absolute errors of 140.57.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict General Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that General Dynamics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
General Dynamics Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest General Dynamics | General Dynamics Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
General Dynamics Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting General Dynamics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. General Dynamics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 300.40 and 303.14, respectively. We have considered General Dynamics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of General Dynamics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent General Dynamics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.2653 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.3045 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0077 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 140.5748 |
Predictive Modules for General Dynamics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as General Dynamics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of General Dynamics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
General Dynamics After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of General Dynamics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in General Dynamics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of General Dynamics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
General Dynamics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting General Dynamics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on General Dynamics' historical news coverage. General Dynamics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 306.28 and 309.02, respectively. We have considered General Dynamics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
General Dynamics is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of General Dynamics is based on 3 months time horizon.
General Dynamics Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as General Dynamics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading General Dynamics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with General Dynamics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
307.65 | 307.65 | 0.00 |
|
General Dynamics Hype Timeline
General Dynamics is currently traded for 307.65on Stuttgart Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. General is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on General Dynamics is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 307.65. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.9. General Dynamics had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of General Dynamics to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy General Stock please use our How to Invest in General Dynamics guide.General Dynamics Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to General Dynamics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict General Dynamics' future price movements. Getting to know how General Dynamics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how General Dynamics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 4A0 | Anglesey Mining plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.67 | |
| 5PMA | GREENX METALS LTD | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.99 | 0.12 | 7.55 | (6.12) | 27.62 | |
| M0G | FIREWEED METALS P | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.06 | 0.02 | 5.38 | (6.57) | 28.53 | |
| HAM | Harmony Gold Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.66 | 0.06 | 7.22 | (7.36) | 17.24 | |
| GG7 | GRIFFIN MINING LTD | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.45 | 0.20 | 5.51 | (2.86) | 12.04 | |
| 8SX0 | BLUE MOON METALS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.35 | 0.12 | 9.16 | (5.79) | 22.31 |
Other Forecasting Options for General Dynamics
For every potential investor in General, whether a beginner or expert, General Dynamics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. General Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in General. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying General Dynamics' price trends.General Dynamics Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with General Dynamics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of General Dynamics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing General Dynamics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
General Dynamics Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how General Dynamics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading General Dynamics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying General Dynamics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify General Dynamics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
General Dynamics Risk Indicators
The analysis of General Dynamics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in General Dynamics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting general stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.07 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Variance | 1.98 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.92 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.59 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.21) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for General Dynamics
The number of cover stories for General Dynamics depends on current market conditions and General Dynamics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that General Dynamics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about General Dynamics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
General Dynamics Short Properties
General Dynamics' future price predictability will typically decrease when General Dynamics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of General Dynamics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential General Dynamics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. General Dynamics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 274.4 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 1.3 B |
Additional Tools for General Stock Analysis
When running General Dynamics' price analysis, check to measure General Dynamics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy General Dynamics is operating at the current time. Most of General Dynamics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of General Dynamics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move General Dynamics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of General Dynamics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.