Golden Entertainment Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

GE6 Stock  EUR 30.80  0.20  0.65%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Golden Entertainment on the next trading day is expected to be 30.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.23. Golden Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Golden Entertainment's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Golden Entertainment is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Golden Entertainment Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Golden Entertainment on the next trading day is expected to be 30.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43, mean absolute percentage error of 0.39, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.23.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Golden Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Golden Entertainment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Golden Entertainment Stock Forecast Pattern

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Golden Entertainment Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Golden Entertainment's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Golden Entertainment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 28.98 and 32.62, respectively. We have considered Golden Entertainment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
30.80
30.80
Expected Value
32.62
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Golden Entertainment stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Golden Entertainment stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.498
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0838
MADMean absolute deviation0.4277
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0145
SAESum of the absolute errors25.235
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Golden Entertainment price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Golden Entertainment. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Golden Entertainment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Golden Entertainment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.9830.8032.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.1925.0133.88
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Golden Entertainment

For every potential investor in Golden, whether a beginner or expert, Golden Entertainment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Golden Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Golden. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Golden Entertainment's price trends.

Golden Entertainment Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Golden Entertainment stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Golden Entertainment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Golden Entertainment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Golden Entertainment Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Golden Entertainment's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Golden Entertainment's current price.

Golden Entertainment Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Golden Entertainment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Golden Entertainment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Golden Entertainment stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Golden Entertainment entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Golden Entertainment Risk Indicators

The analysis of Golden Entertainment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Golden Entertainment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting golden stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Golden Stock

When determining whether Golden Entertainment offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Golden Entertainment's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Golden Entertainment Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Golden Entertainment Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Golden Entertainment to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Golden Stock please use our How to Invest in Golden Entertainment guide.
You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Please note, there is a significant difference between Golden Entertainment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Golden Entertainment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Golden Entertainment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.