GEA Group Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

GEAGF Stock  USD 69.55  4.35  6.67%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft on the next trading day is expected to be 63.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.89 and the sum of the absolute errors of 115.50. GEA Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of GEA Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of GEA Group's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of GEA Group's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of GEA Group and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from GEA Group's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using GEA Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft from the perspective of GEA Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft on the next trading day is expected to be 63.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.89 and the sum of the absolute errors of 115.50.

GEA Group after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 69.55  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GEA Group to cross-verify your projections.

GEA Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine GEA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GEA using various technical indicators. When you analyze GEA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through GEA Group price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

GEA Group Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft on the next trading day is expected to be 63.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.89, mean absolute percentage error of 5.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 115.50.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GEA Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GEA Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

GEA Group Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest GEA GroupGEA Group Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

GEA Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting GEA Group's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GEA Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 61.34 and 65.25, respectively. We have considered GEA Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
69.55
63.30
Expected Value
65.25
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GEA Group pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GEA Group pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.7521
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.8934
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0273
SAESum of the absolute errors115.4991
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for GEA Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GEA Group Aktiengese. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
67.5969.5571.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
56.7858.7476.51
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
63.9466.1668.38
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as GEA Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against GEA Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, GEA Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in GEA Group Aktiengese.

GEA Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of GEA Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GEA Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of GEA Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

GEA Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting GEA Group's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GEA Group's historical news coverage. GEA Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 67.59 and 71.51, respectively. We have considered GEA Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
69.55
69.55
After-hype Price
71.51
Upside
GEA Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GEA Group Aktiengese is based on 3 months time horizon.

GEA Group Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as GEA Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GEA Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GEA Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.12 
1.96
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
69.55
69.55
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

GEA Group Hype Timeline

GEA Group Aktiengese is currently traded for 69.55. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. GEA is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on GEA Group is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 69.55. About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of GEA Group was currently reported as 13.26. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.37. GEA Group Aktiengese last dividend was issued on the 29th of April 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GEA Group to cross-verify your projections.

GEA Group Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to GEA Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GEA Group's future price movements. Getting to know how GEA Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GEA Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for GEA Group

For every potential investor in GEA, whether a beginner or expert, GEA Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GEA Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GEA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GEA Group's price trends.

GEA Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GEA Group pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GEA Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GEA Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

GEA Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GEA Group pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GEA Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GEA Group pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify GEA Group Aktiengesellschaft entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

GEA Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of GEA Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GEA Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gea pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for GEA Group

The number of cover stories for GEA Group depends on current market conditions and GEA Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GEA Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GEA Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in GEA Pink Sheet

GEA Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether GEA Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GEA with respect to the benefits of owning GEA Group security.