Richter Gedeon OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

GEDSF Stock  USD 24.85  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Richter Gedeon Vegyszeti on the next trading day is expected to be 24.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Richter OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Richter Gedeon's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Richter Gedeon is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Richter Gedeon Vegyszeti value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Richter Gedeon Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Richter Gedeon Vegyszeti on the next trading day is expected to be 24.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Richter OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Richter Gedeon's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Richter Gedeon OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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Richter Gedeon Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Richter Gedeon's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Richter Gedeon's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.85 and 24.85, respectively. We have considered Richter Gedeon's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
24.85
24.85
Expected Value
24.85
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Richter Gedeon otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Richter Gedeon otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria56.3868
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Richter Gedeon Vegyszeti. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Richter Gedeon. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Richter Gedeon

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Richter Gedeon Vegyszeti. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Richter Gedeon's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.8524.8524.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.8524.8524.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
24.8524.8524.85
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Richter Gedeon

For every potential investor in Richter, whether a beginner or expert, Richter Gedeon's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Richter OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Richter. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Richter Gedeon's price trends.

Richter Gedeon Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Richter Gedeon otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Richter Gedeon could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Richter Gedeon by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Richter Gedeon Vegyszeti Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Richter Gedeon's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Richter Gedeon's current price.

Richter Gedeon Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Richter Gedeon otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Richter Gedeon shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Richter Gedeon otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Richter Gedeon Vegyszeti entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

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Other Information on Investing in Richter OTC Stock

Richter Gedeon financial ratios help investors to determine whether Richter OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Richter with respect to the benefits of owning Richter Gedeon security.