Guidestone Growth Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

Guidestone Growth simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Guidestone Growth Equity are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Guidestone Growth Equity prices get older.

Guidestone Growth Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Guidestone Growth Equity on the next trading day is expected to be 16.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.51.

Guidestone Growth Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Guidestone Growth Price Prediction

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Guidestone Growth Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Guidestone Growth mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Guidestone Growth mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Guidestone Growth Equity forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Guidestone Growth observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Guidestone Growth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guidestone Growth Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 15.86 16.86 17.86 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 15.59 16.59 17.59 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Guidestone Growth. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Guidestone Growth's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Guidestone Growth's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Guidestone Growth Equity.

Other Forecasting Options for Guidestone Growth

For every potential investor in Guidestone, whether a beginner or expert, Guidestone Growth's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Guidestone Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Guidestone. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Guidestone Growth's price trends.

Guidestone Growth Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Guidestone Growth Equity Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Guidestone Growth's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Guidestone Growth's current price.

Guidestone Growth Market Strength Events

Guidestone Growth Risk Indicators

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Guidestone Mutual Fund