Georg Fischer Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| GF Stock | 52.00 0.30 0.57% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Georg Fischer AG on the next trading day is expected to be 51.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 77.21. Georg Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Georg Fischer's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Georg Fischer hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Georg Fischer AG from the perspective of Georg Fischer response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Georg Fischer AG on the next trading day is expected to be 51.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 77.21. Georg Fischer after-hype prediction price | CHF 52.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Georg Fischer Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Georg price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Georg using various technical indicators. When you analyze Georg charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Georg Fischer Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Georg Fischer AG on the next trading day is expected to be 51.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.27, mean absolute percentage error of 2.42, and the sum of the absolute errors of 77.21.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Georg Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Georg Fischer's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Georg Fischer Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Georg Fischer | Georg Fischer Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Georg Fischer Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Georg Fischer's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Georg Fischer's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 49.95 and 53.64, respectively. We have considered Georg Fischer's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Georg Fischer stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Georg Fischer stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.9942 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2658 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0236 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 77.2149 |
Predictive Modules for Georg Fischer
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Georg Fischer AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Georg Fischer's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Georg Fischer After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Georg Fischer at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Georg Fischer or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Georg Fischer, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Georg Fischer Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Georg Fischer's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Georg Fischer's historical news coverage. Georg Fischer's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 50.46 and 54.14, respectively. We have considered Georg Fischer's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Georg Fischer is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Georg Fischer AG is based on 3 months time horizon.
Georg Fischer Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Georg Fischer is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Georg Fischer backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Georg Fischer, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 1.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
52.00 | 52.30 | 0.00 |
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Georg Fischer Hype Timeline
Georg Fischer AG is currently traded for 52.00on SIX Swiss Exchange of Switzerland. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Georg is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on Georg Fischer is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 52.00. About 46.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Georg Fischer was currently reported as 18.41. The company last dividend was issued on the 22nd of April 2022. Georg Fischer AG had 20:1 split on the 28th of April 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Georg Fischer to cross-verify your projections.Georg Fischer Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Georg Fischer's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Georg Fischer's future price movements. Getting to know how Georg Fischer's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Georg Fischer may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SUN | Sulzer AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.96 | 0.21 | 3.10 | (2.12) | 12.49 | |
| BUCN | Bucher Industries AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.48 | (2.26) | 7.42 | |
| SFSN | SFS Group AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.33 | (0.05) | 1.80 | (2.12) | 8.06 | |
| DKSH | DKSH Holding AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.05 | (0.03) | 2.09 | (1.85) | 5.13 | |
| ADEN | Adecco Group AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.98 | (3.00) | 17.75 | |
| BCHN | Burckhardt Compression | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.44 | (2.00) | 6.35 | |
| KARN | Kardex | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.45 | (1.43) | 10.04 | |
| INRN | Interroll Holding AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.59 | (3.37) | 11.33 | |
| OERL | OC Oerlikon Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.03 | 0.26 | 2.72 | (2.33) | 7.41 | |
| MTG | Meier Tobler Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.61 | 0.01 | 3.26 | (2.20) | 11.18 |
Other Forecasting Options for Georg Fischer
For every potential investor in Georg, whether a beginner or expert, Georg Fischer's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Georg Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Georg. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Georg Fischer's price trends.Georg Fischer Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Georg Fischer stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Georg Fischer could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Georg Fischer by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Georg Fischer Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Georg Fischer stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Georg Fischer shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Georg Fischer stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Georg Fischer AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 3094.57 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.38) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 52.1 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 52.07 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.25) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.30) |
Georg Fischer Risk Indicators
The analysis of Georg Fischer's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Georg Fischer's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting georg stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.1 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.74 | |||
| Variance | 3.04 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Georg Fischer
The number of cover stories for Georg Fischer depends on current market conditions and Georg Fischer's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Georg Fischer is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Georg Fischer's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Georg Fischer Short Properties
Georg Fischer's future price predictability will typically decrease when Georg Fischer's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Georg Fischer AG often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Georg Fischer's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Georg Fischer's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 81.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 944 M |
Additional Tools for Georg Stock Analysis
When running Georg Fischer's price analysis, check to measure Georg Fischer's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Georg Fischer is operating at the current time. Most of Georg Fischer's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Georg Fischer's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Georg Fischer's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Georg Fischer to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.