GFC Green Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

GFC Stock   1,150  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of GFC Green Fields on the next trading day is expected to be 1,150 with a mean absolute deviation of 13.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 818.22. GFC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast GFC Green stock prices and determine the direction of GFC Green Fields's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of GFC Green's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
GFC Green simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for GFC Green Fields are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as GFC Green Fields prices get older.

GFC Green Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of GFC Green Fields on the next trading day is expected to be 1,150 with a mean absolute deviation of 13.64, mean absolute percentage error of 980.58, and the sum of the absolute errors of 818.22.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GFC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GFC Green's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

GFC Green Stock Forecast Pattern

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GFC Green Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting GFC Green's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GFC Green's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,148 and 1,152, respectively. We have considered GFC Green's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1,150
1,150
Expected Value
1,152
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GFC Green stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GFC Green stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria123.1608
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 3.8092
MADMean absolute deviation13.637
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0113
SAESum of the absolute errors818.2178
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting GFC Green Fields forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent GFC Green observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for GFC Green

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GFC Green Fields. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,1481,1501,152
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
990.87993.301,265
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
1,1341,1781,221
Details

Other Forecasting Options for GFC Green

For every potential investor in GFC, whether a beginner or expert, GFC Green's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GFC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GFC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GFC Green's price trends.

GFC Green Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GFC Green stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GFC Green could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GFC Green by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

GFC Green Fields Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of GFC Green's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of GFC Green's current price.

GFC Green Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GFC Green stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GFC Green shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GFC Green stock market strength indicators, traders can identify GFC Green Fields entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

GFC Green Risk Indicators

The analysis of GFC Green's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GFC Green's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gfc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in GFC Stock

GFC Green financial ratios help investors to determine whether GFC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GFC with respect to the benefits of owning GFC Green security.