Guru Favorite Etf Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| GFGF Etf | USD 31.82 0.17 0.54% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Guru Favorite Stocks on the next trading day is expected to be 31.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.19. Guru Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Guru Favorite's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Guru |
Guru Favorite Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Guru Favorite Stocks on the next trading day is expected to be 31.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.19.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Guru Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Guru Favorite's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Guru Favorite Etf Forecast Pattern
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Guru Favorite Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Guru Favorite's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Guru Favorite's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 30.99 and 32.65, respectively. We have considered Guru Favorite's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Guru Favorite etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Guru Favorite etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.402 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0379 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1834 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.006 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.19 |
Predictive Modules for Guru Favorite
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guru Favorite Stocks. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Guru Favorite
For every potential investor in Guru, whether a beginner or expert, Guru Favorite's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Guru Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Guru. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Guru Favorite's price trends.Guru Favorite Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Guru Favorite etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Guru Favorite could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Guru Favorite by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Guru Favorite Stocks Technical and Predictive Analytics
The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Guru Favorite's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Guru Favorite's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Guru Favorite Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Guru Favorite etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Guru Favorite shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Guru Favorite etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Guru Favorite Stocks entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Guru Favorite Risk Indicators
The analysis of Guru Favorite's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Guru Favorite's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting guru etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.567 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.6219 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8124 | |||
| Variance | 0.6599 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.6527 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.3868 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.64) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether Guru Favorite Stocks is a strong investment it is important to analyze Guru Favorite's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Guru Favorite's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Guru Etf, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Guru Favorite to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
The market value of Guru Favorite Stocks is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Guru that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Guru Favorite's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Guru Favorite's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Guru Favorite's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Guru Favorite's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Guru Favorite's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Guru Favorite is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Guru Favorite's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.