Granite Falls Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| GFGY Stock | USD 3,000 0.00 0.00% |
Granite Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Granite Falls' share price is approaching 42. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Granite Falls, making its price go up or down. Momentum 42
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Granite Falls hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Granite Falls Energy from the perspective of Granite Falls response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Granite Falls Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 3,000 with a mean absolute deviation of 25.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,500. Granite Falls after-hype prediction price | USD 3000.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Granite |
Granite Falls Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Granite price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Granite using various technical indicators. When you analyze Granite charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Granite Falls Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Granite Falls Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 3,000 with a mean absolute deviation of 25.42, mean absolute percentage error of 7,121, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,500.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Granite Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Granite Falls' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Granite Falls Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Granite Falls | Granite Falls Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Granite Falls Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Granite Falls' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Granite Falls' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2,998 and 3,002, respectively. We have considered Granite Falls' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Granite Falls pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Granite Falls pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 123.3056 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 25.4237 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0081 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1500.0 |
Predictive Modules for Granite Falls
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Granite Falls Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Granite Falls After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Granite Falls at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Granite Falls or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Granite Falls, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Granite Falls Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Granite Falls' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Granite Falls' historical news coverage. Granite Falls' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2,998 and 3,002, respectively. We have considered Granite Falls' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Granite Falls is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Granite Falls Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Granite Falls Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Granite Falls is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Granite Falls backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Granite Falls, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 2.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3,000 | 3,000 | 0.00 |
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Granite Falls Hype Timeline
Granite Falls Energy is currently traded for 3,000. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Granite is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Granite Falls is about 27625.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3,000. About 35.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.21. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Granite Falls Energy recorded earning per share (EPS) of 2147.76. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Granite Falls to cross-verify your projections.Granite Falls Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Granite Falls' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Granite Falls' future price movements. Getting to know how Granite Falls' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Granite Falls may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VKIN | Viking Energy Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| REGX | Red Trail Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CETEF | Cathedral Energy Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.80 | (0.02) | 3.13 | (3.54) | 16.98 | |
| APHE | Alpha Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| OSG | Octave Specialty Group | 0.08 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 3.17 | (4.04) | 21.07 | |
| GENGF | Gear Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.13 | (2.94) | 11.68 | |
| PXPEF | PXP Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PTRDF | ROK Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| POFCY | Petrofac Ltd ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 18.26 | 0.09 | 50.00 | (50.00) | 401.96 | |
| CAWLF | CWC Energy Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Granite Falls
For every potential investor in Granite, whether a beginner or expert, Granite Falls' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Granite Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Granite. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Granite Falls' price trends.Granite Falls Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Granite Falls pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Granite Falls could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Granite Falls by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Granite Falls Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Granite Falls pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Granite Falls shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Granite Falls pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Granite Falls Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 3000.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 3000.0 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 42.62 |
Granite Falls Risk Indicators
The analysis of Granite Falls' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Granite Falls' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting granite pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8367 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.7 | |||
| Variance | 7.3 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Granite Falls
The number of cover stories for Granite Falls depends on current market conditions and Granite Falls' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Granite Falls is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Granite Falls' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Granite Falls Short Properties
Granite Falls' future price predictability will typically decrease when Granite Falls' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Granite Falls Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Granite Falls' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Granite Falls' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30.6 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 29.3 M |
Additional Tools for Granite Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Granite Falls' price analysis, check to measure Granite Falls' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Granite Falls is operating at the current time. Most of Granite Falls' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Granite Falls' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Granite Falls' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Granite Falls to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.