Genworth Financial Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| GGK Stock | EUR 7.60 0.10 1.33% |
Genworth Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Genworth Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength indicator of Genworth Financial's share price is below 30 as of 19th of February 2026. This usually indicates that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Genworth Financial, making its price go up or down. Momentum 29
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.453 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.029 |
Using Genworth Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Genworth Financial from the perspective of Genworth Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Genworth Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 7.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.90. Genworth Financial after-hype prediction price | EUR 7.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Genworth |
Genworth Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Genworth price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Genworth using various technical indicators. When you analyze Genworth charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Genworth Financial Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 20th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Genworth Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 7.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.90.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Genworth Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Genworth Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Genworth Financial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Genworth Financial | Genworth Financial Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Genworth Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Genworth Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Genworth Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.36 and 9.28, respectively. We have considered Genworth Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Genworth Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Genworth Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.5741 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1596 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0216 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.8955 |
Predictive Modules for Genworth Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Genworth Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Genworth Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Genworth Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Genworth Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Genworth Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Genworth Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Genworth Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Genworth Financial's historical news coverage. Genworth Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.05 and 8.95, respectively. We have considered Genworth Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Genworth Financial is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Genworth Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Genworth Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Genworth Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Genworth Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Genworth Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 1.46 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 5 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
7.60 | 7.50 | 0.00 |
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Genworth Financial Hype Timeline
Genworth Financial is currently traded for 7.60on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.03. Genworth is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Genworth Financial is about 355.99%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.63. About 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.4. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Genworth Financial has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.74. The entity last dividend was issued on the 8th of October 2008. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Genworth Financial to cross-verify your projections.Genworth Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Genworth Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Genworth Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Genworth Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Genworth Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 3TY | TITAN MACHINERY | 0.00 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.16 | (3.11) | 25.42 | |
| GRG | Granite Construction | 3.00 | 8 per month | 0.93 | 0.22 | 3.66 | (1.89) | 7.35 | |
| AY5 | AUST AGRICULTURAL | 0.03 | 2 per month | 1.32 | 0 | 3.85 | (2.50) | 8.83 | |
| PO6 | Penta Ocean Construction Co | 0.20 | 3 per month | 2.25 | 0.17 | 6.09 | (4.57) | 13.57 | |
| 45P | PLAYMATES TOYS | 0 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 5.26 | (8.26) | 28.06 | |
| HNC | Hanison Construction Holdings | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SL4 | BRAGG GAMING GRP | 0.05 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.77 | (6.04) | 29.72 | |
| 3TY | Titan Machinery | 0.00 | 5 per month | 2.09 | 0.07 | 5.34 | (3.61) | 24.14 |
Other Forecasting Options for Genworth Financial
For every potential investor in Genworth, whether a beginner or expert, Genworth Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Genworth Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Genworth. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Genworth Financial's price trends.Genworth Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Genworth Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Genworth Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Genworth Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Genworth Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Genworth Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Genworth Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Genworth Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Genworth Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 7.6 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 7.6 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.05 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.1 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 29.15 |
Genworth Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Genworth Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Genworth Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting genworth stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.35 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Variance | 2.35 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.87 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.81 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.48) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Genworth Financial
The number of cover stories for Genworth Financial depends on current market conditions and Genworth Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Genworth Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Genworth Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Genworth Financial to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Genworth Stock please use our How to Invest in Genworth Financial guide.You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.