Greatland Resources Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| GGP Stock | 705.00 7.20 1.01% |
Greatland Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Greatland Resources stock prices and determine the direction of Greatland Resources Limited's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Greatland Resources' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength momentum indicator of Greatland Resources' stock price is about 63. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Greatland, making its price go up or down. Momentum 63
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Greatland Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Greatland Resources Limited from the perspective of Greatland Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Greatland Resources Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 742.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 30.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,875. Greatland Resources after-hype prediction price | GBX 689.52 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Greatland |
Greatland Resources Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Greatland price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Greatland using various technical indicators. When you analyze Greatland charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Greatland Resources Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Greatland Resources Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 743.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 30.32, mean absolute percentage error of 1,390, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,850.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Greatland Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Greatland Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Greatland Resources Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Greatland Resources | Greatland Resources Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Greatland Resources Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Greatland Resources' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Greatland Resources' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 741.02 and 746.87, respectively. We have considered Greatland Resources' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Greatland Resources stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Greatland Resources stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 125.3473 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 30.3214 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0519 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1849.6045 |
Predictive Modules for Greatland Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Greatland Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Greatland Resources After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Greatland Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Greatland Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Greatland Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Greatland Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Greatland Resources' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Greatland Resources' historical news coverage. Greatland Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 686.59 and 775.50, respectively. We have considered Greatland Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Greatland Resources is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Greatland Resources is based on 3 months time horizon.
Greatland Resources Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Greatland Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Greatland Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Greatland Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.09 | 2.93 | 0.00 | 0.95 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
705.00 | 689.52 | 2.20 |
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Greatland Resources Hype Timeline
Greatland Resources is currently traded for 705.00on London Exchange of UK. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.95. Greatland is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 689.52. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -2.2%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.09%. The volatility of related hype on Greatland Resources is about 334.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 704.05. About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Greatland Resources was currently reported as 1.05. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Greatland Resources had 1:20 split on the 23rd of June 2025. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Greatland Resources to cross-verify your projections.Greatland Resources Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Greatland Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Greatland Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how Greatland Resources' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Greatland Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 0RNU | Neinor Homes SA | 0.33 | 3 per month | 0.81 | 0.07 | 2.13 | (1.57) | 6.30 | |
| GMET | Golden Metal Resources | (6.50) | 6 per month | 3.11 | 0.23 | 8.50 | (5.48) | 26.90 | |
| 0QT5 | Gaztransport et Technigaz | 0.50 | 4 per month | 1.03 | 0.04 | 1.71 | (2.03) | 6.61 | |
| 0HEJ | American Homes 4 | (0.27) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.48 | (1.98) | 8.69 | |
| 0QGU | CNH Industrial NV | 0.45 | 7 per month | 1.46 | 0.16 | 4.85 | (2.80) | 8.58 | |
| 0HGR | Applied Industrial Technologies | (1.31) | 6 per month | 1.96 | 0.04 | 4.13 | (2.66) | 12.15 | |
| 0RV8 | Aedas Homes SA | 0.05 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.46) | 0.30 | (0.29) | 1.05 | |
| URU | URU Metals | (0.25) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.01 | (6.45) | 15.30 |
Other Forecasting Options for Greatland Resources
For every potential investor in Greatland, whether a beginner or expert, Greatland Resources' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Greatland Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Greatland. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Greatland Resources' price trends.Greatland Resources Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Greatland Resources stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Greatland Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Greatland Resources by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Greatland Resources Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Greatland Resources stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Greatland Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Greatland Resources stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Greatland Resources Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Greatland Resources Risk Indicators
The analysis of Greatland Resources' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Greatland Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting greatland stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.35 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.15 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.93 | |||
| Variance | 8.56 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.64 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.63 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.85) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Greatland Resources
The number of cover stories for Greatland Resources depends on current market conditions and Greatland Resources' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Greatland Resources is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Greatland Resources' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Greatland Resources Short Properties
Greatland Resources' future price predictability will typically decrease when Greatland Resources' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Greatland Resources Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Greatland Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Greatland Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 534.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 275.6 M |
Other Information on Investing in Greatland Stock
Greatland Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Greatland Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Greatland with respect to the benefits of owning Greatland Resources security.