Gibui Holdings Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

GIBUI Stock  ILA 76.30  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Gibui Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 76.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Gibui Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Gibui Holdings simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Gibui Holdings are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Gibui Holdings prices get older.

Gibui Holdings Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Gibui Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 76.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gibui Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gibui Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Gibui Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

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Gibui Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Gibui Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gibui Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 76.30 and 76.30, respectively. We have considered Gibui Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
76.30
76.30
Expected Value
76.30
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gibui Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gibui Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Gibui Holdings forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Gibui Holdings observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Gibui Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gibui Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
76.3076.3076.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
76.3076.3076.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
76.3076.3076.30
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Gibui Holdings

For every potential investor in Gibui, whether a beginner or expert, Gibui Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gibui Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gibui. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gibui Holdings' price trends.

Gibui Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gibui Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gibui Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gibui Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Gibui Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Gibui Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Gibui Holdings' current price.

Gibui Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gibui Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gibui Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gibui Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Gibui Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Gibui Stock Analysis

When running Gibui Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Gibui Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gibui Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Gibui Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gibui Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gibui Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gibui Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.