Goldman Sachs Mutual Fund Forecast - Polynomial Regression

GIPAX Fund  USD 12.79  0.09  0.71%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Goldman Sachs Balanced on the next trading day is expected to be 12.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.77. Goldman Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Goldman Sachs' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the mutual fund is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Goldman Sachs' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Goldman Sachs Balanced, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Goldman Sachs hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Goldman Sachs Balanced from the perspective of Goldman Sachs response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Goldman Sachs Balanced on the next trading day is expected to be 12.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.77.

Goldman Sachs after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 12.78  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Goldman Sachs to cross-verify your projections.

Goldman Sachs Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Goldman price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Goldman using various technical indicators. When you analyze Goldman charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Goldman Sachs polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Goldman Sachs Balanced as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Goldman Sachs Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Goldman Sachs Balanced on the next trading day is expected to be 12.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.77.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Goldman Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Goldman Sachs' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Goldman Sachs Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Goldman SachsGoldman Sachs Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Goldman Sachs Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Goldman Sachs' Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Goldman Sachs' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.18 and 13.26, respectively. We have considered Goldman Sachs' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.79
12.72
Expected Value
13.26
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Goldman Sachs mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Goldman Sachs mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.1479
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0619
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.005
SAESum of the absolute errors3.7741
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Goldman Sachs historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Goldman Sachs

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Goldman Sachs Balanced. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.2412.7813.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.1512.6913.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
12.3012.6513.01
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Goldman Sachs. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Goldman Sachs' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Goldman Sachs' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Goldman Sachs Balanced.

Goldman Sachs After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Goldman Sachs at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Goldman Sachs or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Goldman Sachs, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Goldman Sachs Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Goldman Sachs' mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Goldman Sachs' historical news coverage. Goldman Sachs' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.24 and 13.32, respectively. We have considered Goldman Sachs' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
12.79
12.78
After-hype Price
13.32
Upside
Goldman Sachs is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Goldman Sachs Balanced is based on 3 months time horizon.

Goldman Sachs Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Goldman Sachs is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Goldman Sachs backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Goldman Sachs, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.07 
0.54
  0.01 
  0.07 
6 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
12.79
12.78
0.08 
337.50  
Notes

Goldman Sachs Hype Timeline

Goldman Sachs Balanced is currently traded for 12.79. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. Goldman is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 12.78. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Goldman Sachs is about 55.38%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.72. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.65. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Goldman Sachs Balanced last dividend was issued on the 30th of March 2020. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Goldman Sachs to cross-verify your projections.

Goldman Sachs Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Goldman Sachs' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Goldman Sachs' future price movements. Getting to know how Goldman Sachs' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Goldman Sachs may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Goldman Sachs

For every potential investor in Goldman, whether a beginner or expert, Goldman Sachs' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Goldman Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Goldman. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Goldman Sachs' price trends.

Goldman Sachs Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Goldman Sachs mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Goldman Sachs could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Goldman Sachs by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Goldman Sachs Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Goldman Sachs mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Goldman Sachs shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Goldman Sachs mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Goldman Sachs Balanced entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Goldman Sachs Risk Indicators

The analysis of Goldman Sachs' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Goldman Sachs' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting goldman mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Goldman Sachs

The number of cover stories for Goldman Sachs depends on current market conditions and Goldman Sachs' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Goldman Sachs is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Goldman Sachs' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Goldman Mutual Fund

Goldman Sachs financial ratios help investors to determine whether Goldman Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Goldman with respect to the benefits of owning Goldman Sachs security.
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