Gilead Sciences Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| GIS Stock | EUR 126.50 1.06 0.83% |
Gilead Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Gilead Sciences' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 5th of March 2026 The relative strength index (RSI) of Gilead Sciences' share price is above 80 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 97
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.234 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.047 |
Using Gilead Sciences hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gilead Sciences from the perspective of Gilead Sciences response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Gilead Sciences on the next trading day is expected to be 126.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.70 and the sum of the absolute errors of 100.13. Gilead Sciences after-hype prediction price | EUR 125.98 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Gilead |
Gilead Sciences Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gilead price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gilead using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gilead charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Gilead Sciences Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 6th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Gilead Sciences on the next trading day is expected to be 126.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.70, mean absolute percentage error of 4.68, and the sum of the absolute errors of 100.13.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gilead Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gilead Sciences' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Gilead Sciences Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Gilead Sciences | Gilead Sciences Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Gilead Sciences Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Gilead Sciences' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gilead Sciences' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 124.87 and 128.13, respectively. We have considered Gilead Sciences' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gilead Sciences stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gilead Sciences stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.9775 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.5475 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.6972 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0147 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 100.135 |
Predictive Modules for Gilead Sciences
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gilead Sciences. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Gilead Sciences After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gilead Sciences at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gilead Sciences or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gilead Sciences, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gilead Sciences Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gilead Sciences' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gilead Sciences' historical news coverage. Gilead Sciences' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 124.35 and 127.61, respectively. We have considered Gilead Sciences' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gilead Sciences is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gilead Sciences is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gilead Sciences Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gilead Sciences is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gilead Sciences backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gilead Sciences, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.33 | 1.63 | 0.52 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
126.50 | 125.98 | 0.41 |
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Gilead Sciences Hype Timeline
Gilead Sciences is currently traded for 126.50on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.52, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Gilead is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 125.98. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 103.16%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.41%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.33%. The volatility of related hype on Gilead Sciences is about 3635.69%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 126.51. About 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.42. Gilead Sciences recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.79. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of March 2026. The firm had 2:1 split on the 28th of January 2013. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gilead Sciences to cross-verify your projections.Gilead Sciences Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gilead Sciences' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gilead Sciences' future price movements. Getting to know how Gilead Sciences' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gilead Sciences may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| T1A | Treasure ASA | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.00 | (0.30) | 13.61 | |
| BOZA | PT Bank Maybank | 0.16 | 4 per month | 4.09 | (0.01) | 5.00 | (5.00) | 18.90 | |
| MO7R | MOOG INC CL | 0.06 | 7 per month | 3.42 | 0.17 | 8.85 | (6.34) | 32.41 | |
| BIO | Biotest Aktiengesellschaft | 0.00 | 2 per month | 1.59 | (0.01) | 4.57 | (3.83) | 14.29 | |
| UN0 | Uniper SE | (0.40) | 1 per month | 2.26 | 0 | 4.38 | (3.88) | 12.69 | |
| UN0 | Uniper SE | 0.45 | 2 per month | 2.51 | 0.01 | 5.58 | (3.96) | 13.63 |
Other Forecasting Options for Gilead Sciences
For every potential investor in Gilead, whether a beginner or expert, Gilead Sciences' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gilead Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gilead. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gilead Sciences' price trends.Gilead Sciences Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gilead Sciences stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gilead Sciences could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gilead Sciences by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Gilead Sciences Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gilead Sciences stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gilead Sciences shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gilead Sciences stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Gilead Sciences entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 5.0E-4 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (17.67) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 126.47 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 126.48 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.06 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.50) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.06) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 97.97 |
Gilead Sciences Risk Indicators
The analysis of Gilead Sciences' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gilead Sciences' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gilead stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.1 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.6 | |||
| Variance | 2.56 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.67 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.2 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.57) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Gilead Sciences
The number of cover stories for Gilead Sciences depends on current market conditions and Gilead Sciences' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gilead Sciences is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gilead Sciences' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gilead Sciences to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Gilead Stock please use our How to Invest in Gilead Sciences guide.You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.