Scharf Global Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction

GKAT Etf   41.65  0.12  0.29%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Scharf Global Opportunity on the next trading day is expected to be 41.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.23. Scharf Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of Scharf Global's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Scharf Global's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Scharf Global Opportunity, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Scharf Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Scharf Global Opportunity from the perspective of Scharf Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Scharf Global Opportunity on the next trading day is expected to be 41.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.23.

Scharf Global after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 41.65  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Scharf Global to cross-verify your projections.

Scharf Global Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Scharf price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Scharf using various technical indicators. When you analyze Scharf charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Scharf Global is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Scharf Global Opportunity value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Scharf Global Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 16th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Scharf Global Opportunity on the next trading day is expected to be 41.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28, mean absolute percentage error of 0.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.23.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Scharf Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Scharf Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Scharf Global Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest Scharf GlobalScharf Global Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Scharf Global Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Scharf Global's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Scharf Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 41.03 and 42.52, respectively. We have considered Scharf Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
41.65
41.78
Expected Value
42.52
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Scharf Global etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Scharf Global etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.8126
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2779
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.007
SAESum of the absolute errors17.2269
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Scharf Global Opportunity. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Scharf Global. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Scharf Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Scharf Global Opportunity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
40.9141.6542.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
40.5641.3042.04
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Scharf Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Scharf Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Scharf Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Scharf Global Opportunity.

Other Forecasting Options for Scharf Global

For every potential investor in Scharf, whether a beginner or expert, Scharf Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Scharf Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Scharf. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Scharf Global's price trends.

Scharf Global Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Scharf Global etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Scharf Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Scharf Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Scharf Global Opportunity Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Scharf Global's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Scharf Global's current price.

Scharf Global Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Scharf Global etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Scharf Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Scharf Global etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Scharf Global Opportunity entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Scharf Global Risk Indicators

The analysis of Scharf Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Scharf Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting scharf etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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When determining whether Scharf Global Opportunity is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Scharf Etf is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Scharf Global Opportunity Etf. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Scharf Global Opportunity Etf:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Scharf Global to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
The market value of Scharf Global Opportunity is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Scharf that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Scharf Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Scharf Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Scharf Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Scharf Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Scharf Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Scharf Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Scharf Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.