Guskin Gold Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

GKIN Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
Guskin Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Guskin Gold's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Guskin Gold's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Guskin Gold Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Guskin Gold hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Guskin Gold Corp from the perspective of Guskin Gold response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Guskin Gold Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.

Guskin Gold after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.0E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Guskin Gold to cross-verify your projections.

Guskin Gold Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Guskin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Guskin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Guskin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Guskin Gold simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Guskin Gold Corp are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Guskin Gold Corp prices get older.

Guskin Gold Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Guskin Gold Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Guskin Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Guskin Gold's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Guskin Gold Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Guskin Gold  Guskin Gold Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Guskin Gold Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Guskin Gold's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Guskin Gold's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Guskin Gold's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.0001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
0.0001
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Guskin Gold pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Guskin Gold pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Guskin Gold Corp forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Guskin Gold observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Guskin Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guskin Gold Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000840.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00010.00010.0001
Details

Guskin Gold After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Guskin Gold at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Guskin Gold or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Guskin Gold, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Guskin Gold Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Guskin Gold's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Guskin Gold's historical news coverage. Guskin Gold's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Guskin Gold's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0001
0.0001
After-hype Price
0.00
Upside
Guskin Gold is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Guskin Gold Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Guskin Gold Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Guskin Gold is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Guskin Gold backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Guskin Gold, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
5 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0001
0.0001
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Guskin Gold Hype Timeline

Guskin Gold Corp is currently traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Guskin is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Guskin Gold is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. About 80.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 10th of July 2018. Guskin Gold Corp had 1:100 split on the 10th of July 2018. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Guskin Gold to cross-verify your projections.

Guskin Gold Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Guskin Gold's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Guskin Gold's future price movements. Getting to know how Guskin Gold's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Guskin Gold may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AFYGAffinity Gold Corp 0.00 4 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CBLRFCampbell Resources 0.00 2 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
SLCOSovereign Lithium 0.00 3 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
HLLXFHellix Ventures 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
IGRUInternational Gold Resources 0.00 4 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
NTCHFN1 Technologies 0.00 2 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
EXRGEcoLogix Resource Group 0.00 4 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BIONQBioNitrogen Holdings Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ZMGDZamage Digital Art 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
FLKIFalken Industries 0.00 6 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Guskin Gold

For every potential investor in Guskin, whether a beginner or expert, Guskin Gold's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Guskin Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Guskin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Guskin Gold's price trends.

Guskin Gold Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Guskin Gold pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Guskin Gold could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Guskin Gold by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Guskin Gold Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Guskin Gold pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Guskin Gold shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Guskin Gold pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Guskin Gold Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Guskin Gold

The number of cover stories for Guskin Gold depends on current market conditions and Guskin Gold's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Guskin Gold is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Guskin Gold's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Guskin Gold Short Properties

Guskin Gold's future price predictability will typically decrease when Guskin Gold's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Guskin Gold Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Guskin Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Guskin Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding48 M
Short Long Term Debt700.4 K
Shares Float7.7 M

Other Information on Investing in Guskin Pink Sheet

Guskin Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guskin Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guskin with respect to the benefits of owning Guskin Gold security.