Glanbia Plc Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| GLAPF Stock | USD 18.00 0.60 3.45% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Glanbia plc on the next trading day is expected to be 18.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.56. Glanbia Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Glanbia Plc's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 24th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Glanbia Plc's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Glanbia Plc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Glanbia plc from the perspective of Glanbia Plc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Glanbia plc on the next trading day is expected to be 18.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.56. Glanbia Plc after-hype prediction price | USD 18.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Glanbia |
Glanbia Plc Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Glanbia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Glanbia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Glanbia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Glanbia Plc Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Glanbia plc on the next trading day is expected to be 18.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30, mean absolute percentage error of 0.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.56.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Glanbia Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Glanbia Plc's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Glanbia Plc Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Glanbia Plc | Glanbia Plc Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Glanbia Plc Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Glanbia Plc's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Glanbia Plc's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 17.07 and 20.26, respectively. We have considered Glanbia Plc's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Glanbia Plc pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Glanbia Plc pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.0587 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3042 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.018 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 18.5582 |
Predictive Modules for Glanbia Plc
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Glanbia plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Glanbia Plc After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Glanbia Plc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Glanbia Plc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Glanbia Plc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Glanbia Plc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Glanbia Plc's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Glanbia Plc's historical news coverage. Glanbia Plc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.41 and 19.59, respectively. We have considered Glanbia Plc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Glanbia Plc is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Glanbia plc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Glanbia Plc Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Glanbia Plc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Glanbia Plc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Glanbia Plc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 1.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
18.00 | 18.00 | 0.00 |
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Glanbia Plc Hype Timeline
Glanbia plc is currently traded for 18.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Glanbia is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Glanbia Plc is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.00. About 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.58. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Glanbia plc has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.4. The entity last dividend was issued on the 25th of August 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Glanbia Plc to cross-verify your projections.Glanbia Plc Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Glanbia Plc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Glanbia Plc's future price movements. Getting to know how Glanbia Plc's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Glanbia Plc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NSLYF | Nestl Berhad | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ACOPF | The a2 Milk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.06 | 0.01 | 5.06 | (4.07) | 16.59 | |
| PIFMY | Indofood Sukses Makmur | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.28 | (0.01) | 7.20 | (5.28) | 15.82 | |
| CHFLF | China Feihe Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.80 | |
| YMZBY | Yamazaki Baking Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TSUKF | Toyo Suisan Kaisha | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NCHEY | Nichirei | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TATYY | Tate Lyle PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.21 | (0.04) | 2.21 | (3.69) | 9.30 | |
| NIPMY | NH Foods Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.1 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.47 | |
| TATYF | Tate Lyle plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.83 | (1.80) | 8.03 |
Other Forecasting Options for Glanbia Plc
For every potential investor in Glanbia, whether a beginner or expert, Glanbia Plc's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Glanbia Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Glanbia. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Glanbia Plc's price trends.Glanbia Plc Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Glanbia Plc pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Glanbia Plc could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Glanbia Plc by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Glanbia Plc Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Glanbia Plc pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Glanbia Plc shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Glanbia Plc pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Glanbia plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | |||
| Day Median Price | 18.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 18.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.3 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.6 |
Glanbia Plc Risk Indicators
The analysis of Glanbia Plc's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Glanbia Plc's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting glanbia pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.5163 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.61 | |||
| Variance | 2.58 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Glanbia Plc
The number of cover stories for Glanbia Plc depends on current market conditions and Glanbia Plc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Glanbia Plc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Glanbia Plc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Glanbia Pink Sheet
Glanbia Plc financial ratios help investors to determine whether Glanbia Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Glanbia with respect to the benefits of owning Glanbia Plc security.