PSH Group Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

GLHD Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
PSH Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast PSH Group stock prices and determine the direction of PSH Group Holding's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of PSH Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of PSH Group's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of PSH Group's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of PSH Group and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from PSH Group's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with PSH Group Holding, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using PSH Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PSH Group Holding from the perspective of PSH Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of PSH Group Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.

PSH Group after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.0E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PSH Group to cross-verify your projections.

PSH Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine PSH price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PSH using various technical indicators. When you analyze PSH charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for PSH Group works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

PSH Group Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of PSH Group Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PSH Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PSH Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

PSH Group Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest PSH Group  PSH Group Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

PSH Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting PSH Group's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PSH Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered PSH Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.0001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
0.0001
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PSH Group pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PSH Group pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
When PSH Group Holding prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any PSH Group Holding trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent PSH Group observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for PSH Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PSH Group Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000840.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00010.00010.0001
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as PSH Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against PSH Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, PSH Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in PSH Group Holding.

PSH Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of PSH Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PSH Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of PSH Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

PSH Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting PSH Group's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PSH Group's historical news coverage. PSH Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered PSH Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0001
0.0001
After-hype Price
0.00
Upside
PSH Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PSH Group Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.

PSH Group Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PSH Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PSH Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PSH Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0001
0.0001
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

PSH Group Hype Timeline

PSH Group Holding is currently traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. PSH is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on PSH Group is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 102.4. PSH Group Holding had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PSH Group to cross-verify your projections.

PSH Group Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to PSH Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PSH Group's future price movements. Getting to know how PSH Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PSH Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CNVAFCnova NV 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
TWRKFTheWorkscouk Plc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ARTZFartnet AG 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
DBGIDigital Brands Group 0.49 7 per month 8.85  0  12.72 (12.56) 48.10 
CNLFFCanlan Ice Sports 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.08  0.00  0.00  14.57 
IFLXFImaflex 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.12  0.00  0.00  110.31 
MNLXFMiniLuxe Holding Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ONVCOnline Vacation Center 0.00 0 per month 5.79  0.04  8.12 (18.42) 84.04 
NWFAFNew Focus Auto 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
RDBBFRedbubble Limited 0.00 0 per month 5.14  0.08  17.65 (15.00) 53.33 

Other Forecasting Options for PSH Group

For every potential investor in PSH, whether a beginner or expert, PSH Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PSH Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PSH. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PSH Group's price trends.

PSH Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PSH Group pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PSH Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PSH Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

PSH Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PSH Group pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PSH Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PSH Group pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify PSH Group Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for PSH Group

The number of cover stories for PSH Group depends on current market conditions and PSH Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PSH Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PSH Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in PSH Pink Sheet

PSH Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether PSH Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PSH with respect to the benefits of owning PSH Group security.