VanEck India Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction
| GLIN Etf | USD 44.50 0.30 0.68% |
VanEck Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, the relative strength momentum indicator of VanEck India's share price is approaching 43. This usually indicates that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling VanEck India, making its price go up or down. Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using VanEck India hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of VanEck India Growth from the perspective of VanEck India response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards VanEck India using VanEck India's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards VanEck using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of VanEck India's stock price.
VanEck India Implied Volatility | 0.24 |
VanEck India's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of VanEck India Growth stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if VanEck India's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that VanEck India stock will not fluctuate a lot when VanEck India's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of VanEck India Growth on the next trading day is expected to be 43.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.65. VanEck India after-hype prediction price | USD 44.53 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VanEck India to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current VanEck contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that VanEck India Growth will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.015% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With VanEck India trading at USD 44.5, that is roughly USD 0.006675 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating VanEck India's daily price movement you should consider acquiring VanEck India Growth options at the current volatility level of 0.24%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 VanEck Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast VanEck India's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in VanEck India's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for VanEck India stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current VanEck India's open interest, investors have to compare it to VanEck India's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of VanEck India is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in VanEck. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
VanEck India Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine VanEck price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for VanEck using various technical indicators. When you analyze VanEck charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
VanEck India Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of VanEck India Growth on the next trading day is expected to be 43.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39, mean absolute percentage error of 0.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.65.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VanEck Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that VanEck India's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
VanEck India Etf Forecast Pattern
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VanEck India Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting VanEck India's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. VanEck India's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 42.32 and 44.21, respectively. We have considered VanEck India's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of VanEck India etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent VanEck India etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.5763 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3877 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0085 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 23.6495 |
Predictive Modules for VanEck India
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VanEck India Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.VanEck India After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of VanEck India at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in VanEck India or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of VanEck India, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
VanEck India Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting VanEck India's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on VanEck India's historical news coverage. VanEck India's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 43.58 and 45.48, respectively. We have considered VanEck India's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
VanEck India is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of VanEck India Growth is based on 3 months time horizon.
VanEck India Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as VanEck India is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading VanEck India backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with VanEck India, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 0.95 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 3 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
44.50 | 44.53 | 0.07 |
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VanEck India Hype Timeline
VanEck India Growth is currently traded for 44.50. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. VanEck is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 44.53 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 190.0%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.05%. The volatility of related hype on VanEck India is about 1484.37%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 44.50. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VanEck India to cross-verify your projections.VanEck India Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to VanEck India's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict VanEck India's future price movements. Getting to know how VanEck India's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how VanEck India may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IMOM | Alpha Architect International | 0.14 | 4 per month | 0.24 | 0.28 | 1.50 | (1.02) | 3.79 | |
| GDMN | WisdomTree Efficient Gold | (0.01) | 1 per month | 2.39 | 0.25 | 5.19 | (3.91) | 16.91 | |
| KLIP | KraneShares Trust | 0.11 | 2 per month | 0.81 | (0.03) | 1.51 | (1.28) | 4.48 | |
| EMXF | iShares ESG Advanced | (0.02) | 3 per month | 0.57 | 0.07 | 1.27 | (1.19) | 2.92 | |
| FLEE | Franklin FTSE Europe | 0.28 | 4 per month | 0.58 | 0.08 | 1.35 | (1.22) | 3.65 | |
| DEW | WisdomTree Global High | (0.17) | 7 per month | 0.33 | 0.06 | 1.05 | (0.79) | 2.47 | |
| MBOX | Freedom Day Dividend | 0.29 | 2 per month | 0.52 | 0.02 | 1.12 | (0.95) | 2.58 | |
| IDNA | iShares Genomics Immunology | (0.42) | 2 per month | 1.03 | 0.13 | 3.05 | (1.76) | 6.48 | |
| ECNS | iShares MSCI China | 0.24 | 3 per month | 0.95 | (0.05) | 1.89 | (1.81) | 4.17 | |
| ISEP | Innovator ETFs Trust | 0.20 | 3 per month | 0.27 | (0.04) | 0.62 | (0.63) | 1.77 |
Other Forecasting Options for VanEck India
For every potential investor in VanEck, whether a beginner or expert, VanEck India's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. VanEck Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in VanEck. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying VanEck India's price trends.VanEck India Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with VanEck India etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of VanEck India could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing VanEck India by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
VanEck India Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how VanEck India etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading VanEck India shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying VanEck India etf market strength indicators, traders can identify VanEck India Growth entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
VanEck India Risk Indicators
The analysis of VanEck India's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in VanEck India's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vaneck etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7845 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9637 | |||
| Variance | 0.9288 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for VanEck India
The number of cover stories for VanEck India depends on current market conditions and VanEck India's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that VanEck India is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about VanEck India's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VanEck India to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
The market value of VanEck India Growth is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VanEck that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VanEck India's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VanEck India's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VanEck India's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VanEck India's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VanEck India's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VanEck India is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VanEck India's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.