Monte Rosa Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

GLUE Stock  USD 23.28  7.27  45.41%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Monte Rosa Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 22.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.85 and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.52. Monte Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Monte Rosa stock prices and determine the direction of Monte Rosa Therapeutics's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Monte Rosa's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the rsi of Monte Rosa's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Monte Rosa's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Monte Rosa and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Monte Rosa's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Monte Rosa Therapeutics, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Monte Rosa's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.14)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.20)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(1.33)
Wall Street Target Price
26.7
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.35)
Using Monte Rosa hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Monte Rosa Therapeutics from the perspective of Monte Rosa response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Monte Rosa using Monte Rosa's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Monte using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Monte Rosa's stock price.

Monte Rosa Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Monte Rosa's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Monte. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Monte Rosa stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
7.8071
Short Percent
0.1401
Short Ratio
8.95
Shares Short Prior Month
M
50 Day MA
15.0472

Monte Rosa Therapeutics Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Monte Rosa's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Monte. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Monte can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Monte Rosa Therapeutics. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Monte Rosa's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Monte Rosa.

Monte Rosa Implied Volatility

    
  1.48  
Monte Rosa's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Monte Rosa Therapeutics stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Monte Rosa's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Monte Rosa stock will not fluctuate a lot when Monte Rosa's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Monte Rosa Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 22.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.85 and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.52.

Monte Rosa after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 23.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Monte Rosa to cross-verify your projections.
As of January 8, 2026, Payables Turnover is expected to decline to 0.22. In addition to that, Receivables Turnover is expected to decline to 349.70. As of January 8, 2026, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 56.3 M. In addition to that, Net Loss is expected to decline to about (102.5 M).

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Monte Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Monte Rosa's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Monte Rosa's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Monte Rosa stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Monte Rosa's open interest, investors have to compare it to Monte Rosa's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Monte Rosa is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Monte. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Monte Rosa Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Monte price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Monte using various technical indicators. When you analyze Monte charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Monte Rosa Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Monte Rosa's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2020-03-31
Previous Quarter
69.4 M
Current Value
208.3 M
Quarterly Volatility
106.9 M
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Monte Rosa is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Monte Rosa Therapeutics value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Monte Rosa Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Monte Rosa Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 22.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.85, mean absolute percentage error of 1.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.52.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Monte Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Monte Rosa's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Monte Rosa Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Monte RosaMonte Rosa Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Monte Rosa Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Monte Rosa's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Monte Rosa's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.96 and 30.45, respectively. We have considered Monte Rosa's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
23.28
22.70
Expected Value
30.45
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Monte Rosa stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Monte Rosa stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.2213
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.847
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0593
SAESum of the absolute errors52.5169
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Monte Rosa Therapeutics. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Monte Rosa. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Monte Rosa

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Monte Rosa Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Monte Rosa's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.2523.0030.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.8921.6429.39
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
24.3026.7029.64
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.51-0.330.06
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Monte Rosa

For every potential investor in Monte, whether a beginner or expert, Monte Rosa's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Monte Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Monte. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Monte Rosa's price trends.

Monte Rosa Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Monte Rosa stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Monte Rosa could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Monte Rosa by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Monte Rosa Therapeutics Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Monte Rosa's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Monte Rosa's current price.

Monte Rosa Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Monte Rosa stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Monte Rosa shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Monte Rosa stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Monte Rosa Therapeutics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Monte Rosa Risk Indicators

The analysis of Monte Rosa's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Monte Rosa's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting monte stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Monte Rosa Therapeutics is a strong investment it is important to analyze Monte Rosa's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Monte Rosa's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Monte Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Monte Rosa to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Monte Rosa. If investors know Monte will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Monte Rosa listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
0.32
Revenue Per Share
2.208
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.385
Return On Assets
0.0137
Return On Equity
0.0928
The market value of Monte Rosa Therapeutics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Monte that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Monte Rosa's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Monte Rosa's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Monte Rosa's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Monte Rosa's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Monte Rosa's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Monte Rosa is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Monte Rosa's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.