Gestamp Automoción Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| GMPUF Stock | USD 2.95 0.00 0.00% |
Gestamp Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Gestamp Automoción's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Gestamp Automoción's pink sheet price is roughly 66. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is rather overbought by investors as of 27th of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Gestamp, making its price go up or down. Momentum 66
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Gestamp Automoción hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gestamp Automocin SA from the perspective of Gestamp Automoción response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Gestamp Automocin SA on the next trading day is expected to be 2.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.40. Gestamp Automoción after-hype prediction price | USD 2.95 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Gestamp |
Gestamp Automoción Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gestamp price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gestamp using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gestamp charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Gestamp Automoción Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Gestamp Automocin SA on the next trading day is expected to be 2.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.40.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gestamp Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gestamp Automoción's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Gestamp Automoción Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Gestamp Automoción | Gestamp Automoción Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Gestamp Automoción Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Gestamp Automoción's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gestamp Automoción's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.46 and 3.43, respectively. We have considered Gestamp Automoción's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gestamp Automoción pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gestamp Automoción pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.158 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0065 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0022 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.3974 |
Predictive Modules for Gestamp Automoción
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gestamp Automoción. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gestamp Automoción's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gestamp Automoción After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gestamp Automoción at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gestamp Automoción or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Gestamp Automoción, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gestamp Automoción Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gestamp Automoción's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gestamp Automoción's historical news coverage. Gestamp Automoción's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.46 and 3.44, respectively. We have considered Gestamp Automoción's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gestamp Automoción is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gestamp Automoción is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gestamp Automoción Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gestamp Automoción is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gestamp Automoción backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gestamp Automoción, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.95 | 2.95 | 0.00 |
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Gestamp Automoción Hype Timeline
Gestamp Automoción is currently traded for 2.95. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Gestamp is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Gestamp Automoción is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.95. About 74.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.96. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Gestamp Automoción last dividend was issued on the 10th of January 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gestamp Automoción to cross-verify your projections.Gestamp Automoción Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gestamp Automoción's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gestamp Automoción's future price movements. Getting to know how Gestamp Automoción's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gestamp Automoción may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SLNLY | Stella International Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TSIOF | 361 Degrees International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.66 | |
| NKRKF | Nokian Renkaat Oyj | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.33) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.30 | |
| ACKAY | Arcelik AS ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 3.65 | (1.54) | 16.93 | |
| MIZUF | Mizuno | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NIFCY | Nifco Inc ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NKRKY | Nokian Tyres Plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.06 | 0.19 | 3.15 | (1.96) | 6.73 | |
| MBUMF | Mabuchi Motor Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GMALY | Genting Malaysia Bhd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.46 | |
| XTPEF | Xtep International Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Gestamp Automoción
For every potential investor in Gestamp, whether a beginner or expert, Gestamp Automoción's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gestamp Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gestamp. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gestamp Automoción's price trends.Gestamp Automoción Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gestamp Automoción pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gestamp Automoción could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gestamp Automoción by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Gestamp Automoción Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gestamp Automoción pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gestamp Automoción shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gestamp Automoción pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Gestamp Automocin SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Gestamp Automoción Risk Indicators
The analysis of Gestamp Automoción's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gestamp Automoción's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gestamp pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1615 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.4855 | |||
| Variance | 0.2357 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Gestamp Automoción
The number of cover stories for Gestamp Automoción depends on current market conditions and Gestamp Automoción's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gestamp Automoción is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gestamp Automoción's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Gestamp Pink Sheet
Gestamp Automoción financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gestamp Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gestamp with respect to the benefits of owning Gestamp Automoción security.