GMT Token Crypto Coin Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

GMTT Crypto  USD 0.36  0.01  2.70%   
GMT Crypto Coin outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast GMT Token crypto prices and determine the direction of GMT Token's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of GMT Token's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the RSI of GMT Token's share price is approaching 45. This usually indicates that the crypto coin is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling GMT Token, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 45

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of GMT Token's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with GMT Token, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using GMT Token hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GMT Token from the perspective of GMT Token response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of GMT Token on the next trading day is expected to be 0.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.74.

GMT Token after-hype prediction price

    
  .CC 0.36  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as crypto price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GMT Token to cross-verify your projections.

GMT Token Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine GMT price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GMT using various technical indicators. When you analyze GMT charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
GMT Token simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for GMT Token are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as GMT Token prices get older.

GMT Token Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of GMT Token on the next trading day is expected to be 0.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0004, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.74.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GMT Crypto Coin prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GMT Token's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

GMT Token Crypto Coin Forecast Pattern

GMT Token Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting GMT Token's Crypto Coin value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GMT Token's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 5.63, respectively. We have considered GMT Token's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.36
0.36
Expected Value
5.63
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GMT Token crypto coin data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GMT Token crypto coin, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.3187
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 3.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0121
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0323
SAESum of the absolute errors0.74
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting GMT Token forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent GMT Token observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for GMT Token

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GMT Token. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the crypto coin market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the crypto coin market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.365.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.325.59
Details

GMT Token After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of GMT Token at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GMT Token or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Crypto Coin prices, such as prices of GMT Token, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

GMT Token Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting GMT Token's crypto coin value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GMT Token's historical news coverage. GMT Token's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 5.63, respectively. We have considered GMT Token's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.36
0.36
After-hype Price
5.63
Upside
GMT Token is extremely risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GMT Token is based on 3 months time horizon.

GMT Token Crypto Coin Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Cryptocurrency such as GMT Token is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GMT Token backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Crypto price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GMT Token, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.05 
5.27
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.36
0.36
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

GMT Token Hype Timeline

GMT Token is currently traded for 0.36. This cryptocurrency is not elastic to its hype. The average crypto elasticity to the hype of similar coins is 0.0. GMT is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on GMT Token is about 116515.59%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.36. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GMT Token to cross-verify your projections.

GMT Token Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to GMT Token's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GMT Token's future price movements. Getting to know how GMT Token's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GMT Token may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for GMT Token

For every potential investor in GMT, whether a beginner or expert, GMT Token's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GMT Crypto Coin price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GMT. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GMT Token's price trends.

GMT Token Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GMT Token crypto coin to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GMT Token could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GMT Token by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

GMT Token Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GMT Token crypto coin reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GMT Token shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GMT Token crypto coin market strength indicators, traders can identify GMT Token entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

GMT Token Risk Indicators

The analysis of GMT Token's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GMT Token's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gmt crypto coin prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for GMT Token

The number of cover stories for GMT Token depends on current market conditions and GMT Token's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GMT Token is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GMT Token's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
When determining whether GMT Token offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of GMT Token's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Gmt Token Crypto.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GMT Token to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GMT Token's coin value and its market price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Cryptocurrency investors typically determine GMT Token value by looking at such factors as its true mass adoption, usability, application, safety as well as its ability to resist fraud and manipulation. On the other hand, GMT Token's price is the amount at which it trades on the cryptocurrency exchange or other digital marketplace that truly represents its supply and demand.