Entain Plc Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

GMVHF Stock  USD 10.09  0.18  1.82%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Entain Plc on the next trading day is expected to be 10.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.74. Entain Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Entain Plc's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Entain Plc simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Entain Plc are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Entain Plc prices get older.

Entain Plc Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Entain Plc on the next trading day is expected to be 10.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.74.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Entain Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Entain Plc's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Entain Plc Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Entain Plc Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Entain Plc's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Entain Plc's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.05 and 13.09, respectively. We have considered Entain Plc's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.09
10.07
Expected Value
13.09
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Entain Plc pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Entain Plc pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.7592
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0265
MADMean absolute deviation0.1957
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.02
SAESum of the absolute errors11.7417
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Entain Plc forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Entain Plc observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Entain Plc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Entain Plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.899.9112.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.248.2611.28
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Entain Plc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Entain Plc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Entain Plc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Entain Plc.

Other Forecasting Options for Entain Plc

For every potential investor in Entain, whether a beginner or expert, Entain Plc's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Entain Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Entain. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Entain Plc's price trends.

Entain Plc Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Entain Plc pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Entain Plc could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Entain Plc by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Entain Plc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Entain Plc's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Entain Plc's current price.

Entain Plc Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Entain Plc pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Entain Plc shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Entain Plc pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Entain Plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Entain Plc Risk Indicators

The analysis of Entain Plc's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Entain Plc's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting entain pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Entain Pink Sheet

Entain Plc financial ratios help investors to determine whether Entain Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Entain with respect to the benefits of owning Entain Plc security.