Greencore Group Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

GNCGF Stock  USD 3.42  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Greencore Group plc on the next trading day is expected to be 3.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Greencore Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Greencore Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 22nd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Greencore Group's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Greencore Group's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Greencore Group and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Greencore Group's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Greencore Group plc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Greencore Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Greencore Group plc from the perspective of Greencore Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Greencore Group plc on the next trading day is expected to be 3.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.

Greencore Group after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 3.42  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Greencore Group to cross-verify your projections.

Greencore Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Greencore price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Greencore using various technical indicators. When you analyze Greencore charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Greencore Group is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Greencore Group plc value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Greencore Group Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Greencore Group plc on the next trading day is expected to be 3.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Greencore Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Greencore Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Greencore Group Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Greencore GroupGreencore Group Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Greencore Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Greencore Group's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Greencore Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.42 and 3.42, respectively. We have considered Greencore Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.42
3.42
Expected Value
3.42
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Greencore Group pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Greencore Group pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria53.3265
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Greencore Group plc. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Greencore Group. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Greencore Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Greencore Group plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.423.423.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.423.423.42
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Greencore Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Greencore Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Greencore Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Greencore Group plc.

Greencore Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Greencore Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Greencore Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Greencore Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Greencore Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Greencore Group's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Greencore Group's historical news coverage. Greencore Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.42 and 3.42, respectively. We have considered Greencore Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3.42
3.42
After-hype Price
3.42
Upside
Greencore Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Greencore Group plc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Greencore Group Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Greencore Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Greencore Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Greencore Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3.42
3.42
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Greencore Group Hype Timeline

Greencore Group plc is currently traded for 3.42. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Greencore is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Greencore Group is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.42. About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.63. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Greencore Group plc last dividend was issued on the 2nd of January 2020. The entity had 411:338 split on the 8th of December 2016. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Greencore Group to cross-verify your projections.

Greencore Group Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Greencore Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Greencore Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Greencore Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Greencore Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
NISUYNippon Suisan Kaisha 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.11  0.00  0.00  77.68 
YNNHFYihai International Holding 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
TUFBYThai Union Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.1  0.00  0.00  31.54 
FNEVYFraser and Neave 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
AVSFYAvi Ltd ADR 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
GUZOFGrupo Herdez SAB 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.06  0.00  0.00  7.63 
TUFUFThai Union Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
HLTFFHilton Food Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 0.00  0.00  49.73 
PIGEFPigeon 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
VAGNFVegano Foods 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Greencore Group

For every potential investor in Greencore, whether a beginner or expert, Greencore Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Greencore Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Greencore. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Greencore Group's price trends.

Greencore Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Greencore Group pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Greencore Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Greencore Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Greencore Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Greencore Group pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Greencore Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Greencore Group pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Greencore Group plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Greencore Group

The number of cover stories for Greencore Group depends on current market conditions and Greencore Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Greencore Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Greencore Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Greencore Pink Sheet

Greencore Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Greencore Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Greencore with respect to the benefits of owning Greencore Group security.