Ganfeng Lithium Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| GNENF Stock | USD 3.09 0.05 1.64% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ganfeng Lithium Co on the next trading day is expected to be 2.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.06. Ganfeng Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Ganfeng Lithium's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Ganfeng |
Ganfeng Lithium Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ganfeng Lithium Co on the next trading day is expected to be 2.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.06.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ganfeng Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ganfeng Lithium's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Ganfeng Lithium Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Ganfeng Lithium Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Ganfeng Lithium's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ganfeng Lithium's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 9.18, respectively. We have considered Ganfeng Lithium's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ganfeng Lithium pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ganfeng Lithium pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.5006 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.13 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0476 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.0625 |
Predictive Modules for Ganfeng Lithium
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ganfeng Lithium. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Ganfeng Lithium
For every potential investor in Ganfeng, whether a beginner or expert, Ganfeng Lithium's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ganfeng Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ganfeng. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ganfeng Lithium's price trends.View Ganfeng Lithium Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ganfeng Lithium Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ganfeng Lithium's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ganfeng Lithium's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Ganfeng Lithium Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ganfeng Lithium pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ganfeng Lithium shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ganfeng Lithium pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Ganfeng Lithium Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Ganfeng Lithium Risk Indicators
The analysis of Ganfeng Lithium's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ganfeng Lithium's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ganfeng pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.86 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.93 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.33 | |||
| Variance | 40.11 | |||
| Downside Variance | 27.1 | |||
| Semi Variance | 24.26 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.36) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Other Information on Investing in Ganfeng Pink Sheet
Ganfeng Lithium financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ganfeng Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ganfeng with respect to the benefits of owning Ganfeng Lithium security.