Genprex Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| GNPX Stock | USD 2.20 0.24 12.24% |
Genprex Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the rsi of Genprex's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Year (1.15) | Wall Street Target Price 7.5 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.42) |
Using Genprex hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Genprex from the perspective of Genprex response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Genprex on the next trading day is expected to be 1.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.47. Genprex after-hype prediction price | USD 2.38 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Genprex to cross-verify your projections. Genprex Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Genprex price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Genprex using various technical indicators. When you analyze Genprex charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Genprex Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 11th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Genprex on the next trading day is expected to be 1.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46, mean absolute percentage error of 0.29, and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.47.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Genprex Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Genprex's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Genprex Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Genprex | Genprex Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Genprex Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Genprex's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Genprex's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 9.58, respectively. We have considered Genprex's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Genprex stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Genprex stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.7122 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4592 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1854 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 28.4722 |
Predictive Modules for Genprex
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Genprex. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Genprex After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Genprex at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Genprex or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Genprex, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Genprex Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Genprex's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Genprex's historical news coverage. Genprex's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.12 and 10.11, respectively. We have considered Genprex's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Genprex is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Genprex is based on 3 months time horizon.
Genprex Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Genprex is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Genprex backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Genprex, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.94 | 7.64 | 0.24 | 0.28 | 6 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.20 | 2.38 | 8.18 |
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Genprex Hype Timeline
Genprex is currently traded for 2.20. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.24, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.28. Genprex is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.38 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 8.18%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.94%. The volatility of related hype on Genprex is about 2595.99%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.92. The company has return on total asset (ROA) of (2.0741) % which means that it has lost $2.0741 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (6.123) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Genprex's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Genprex manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is likely to rise to -4.38 in 2026. Return On Capital Employed is likely to rise to -14.28 in 2026. At this time, Genprex's Net Tangible Assets are fairly stable compared to the past year. Intangibles To Total Assets is likely to rise to 0.13 in 2026, whereas Total Assets are likely to drop slightly above 4.5 M in 2026. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Genprex to cross-verify your projections.Genprex Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Genprex's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Genprex's future price movements. Getting to know how Genprex's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Genprex may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| INM | InMed Pharmaceuticals | 0.08 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 7.48 | (9.30) | 30.84 | |
| LIMN | Liminatus Pharma Class | 0.01 | 5 per month | 8.09 | 0.07 | 33.64 | (11.58) | 97.96 | |
| BDRX | Biodexa Pharmaceticals | (0.25) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 11.45 | (16.09) | 128.35 | |
| CERO | CERo Therapeutics Holdings | (0.01) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 20.00 | (17.27) | 49.80 | |
| JAGX | Jaguar Animal Health | (0.04) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 10.14 | (16.87) | 125.57 | |
| GRI | GRI Bio | 0.28 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.32) | 11.88 | (20.75) | 77.14 | |
| BIVI | Biovie Inc | 0.13 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 7.41 | (7.45) | 23.28 | |
| CNSP | CNS Pharmaceuticals | 0.16 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 7.22 | (7.57) | 31.54 | |
| TOVX | Theriva Biologics | (0.01) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 10.53 | (11.11) | 34.29 | |
| CMMB | Chemomab Therapeutics Ltd | (3.29) | 19 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 7.74 | (7.21) | 21.53 |
Other Forecasting Options for Genprex
For every potential investor in Genprex, whether a beginner or expert, Genprex's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Genprex Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Genprex. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Genprex's price trends.Genprex Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Genprex stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Genprex could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Genprex by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Genprex Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Genprex stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Genprex shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Genprex stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Genprex entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 17032.09 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.333333 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.12 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.2 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.2 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.12 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.24 |
Genprex Risk Indicators
The analysis of Genprex's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Genprex's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting genprex stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 6.46 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.56 | |||
| Variance | 73.23 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Genprex
The number of cover stories for Genprex depends on current market conditions and Genprex's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Genprex is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Genprex's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Genprex Short Properties
Genprex's future price predictability will typically decrease when Genprex's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Genprex often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Genprex's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Genprex's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 80.1 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 M |
Additional Tools for Genprex Stock Analysis
When running Genprex's price analysis, check to measure Genprex's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Genprex is operating at the current time. Most of Genprex's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Genprex's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Genprex's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Genprex to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.