Grand River OTC Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| GNRV Stock | USD 3.05 0.16 5.54% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Grand River Commerce on the next trading day is expected to be 3.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.04. Grand OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
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Grand River Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Grand River Commerce on the next trading day is expected to be 3.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.04.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Grand OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Grand River's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Grand River OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
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Grand River Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Grand River's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Grand River's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.16 and 6.00, respectively. We have considered Grand River's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Grand River otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Grand River otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0126 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0515 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0179 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.0364 |
Predictive Modules for Grand River
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grand River Commerce. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Grand River
For every potential investor in Grand, whether a beginner or expert, Grand River's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Grand OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Grand. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Grand River's price trends.View Grand River Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Grand River Commerce Technical and Predictive Analytics
The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Grand River's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Grand River's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Grand River Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Grand River otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Grand River shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Grand River otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Grand River Commerce entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Grand River Risk Indicators
The analysis of Grand River's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Grand River's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting grand otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.48 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.32 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.87 | |||
| Variance | 8.25 | |||
| Downside Variance | 35.2 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.4 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.48) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for Grand OTC Stock Analysis
When running Grand River's price analysis, check to measure Grand River's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Grand River is operating at the current time. Most of Grand River's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Grand River's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Grand River's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Grand River to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.