Canoo Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

GOEVDelisted Stock  USD 0.16  0.04  33.33%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Canoo Inc on the next trading day is expected to be -0.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.15. Canoo Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Canoo's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Canoo's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Canoo and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Canoo's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Canoo Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Canoo hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Canoo Inc from the perspective of Canoo response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Canoo Inc on the next trading day is expected to be -0.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.15.

Canoo after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.16  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Canoo Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Canoo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Canoo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Canoo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Canoo is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Canoo Inc value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Canoo Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 7th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Canoo Inc on the next trading day is expected to be -0.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54, mean absolute percentage error of 0.71, and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.15.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Canoo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Canoo's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Canoo Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest CanooCanoo Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Canoo stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Canoo stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.7646
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.5435
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.2132
SAESum of the absolute errors33.1532
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Canoo Inc. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Canoo. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Canoo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Canoo Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Canoo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.160.160.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.150.150.18
Details

Canoo Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Canoo stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Canoo could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Canoo by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Canoo Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Canoo stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Canoo shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Canoo stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Canoo Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

Other Consideration for investing in Canoo Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Canoo Inc check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Canoo's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
Top Crypto Exchanges
Search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges
Portfolio Center
All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios
Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets
Theme Ratings
Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Sectors
List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities
ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
Aroon Oscillator
Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios
Portfolio Manager
State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital