Golden Grail Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

GOGY Stock  USD 0.03  0  5.41%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Golden Grail Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.22. Golden Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Golden Grail's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Golden Grail's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Golden Grail Technology, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Golden Grail hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Golden Grail Technology from the perspective of Golden Grail response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Golden Grail Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.22.

Golden Grail after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.03  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Golden Grail to cross-verify your projections.

Golden Grail Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Golden price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Golden using various technical indicators. When you analyze Golden charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Golden Grail is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Golden Grail Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Golden Grail Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000022, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.22.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Golden Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Golden Grail's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Golden Grail Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Golden GrailGolden Grail Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Golden Grail Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Golden Grail's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Golden Grail's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0003 and 54.42, respectively. We have considered Golden Grail's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.03
0.0003
Downside
0.03
Expected Value
54.42
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Golden Grail pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Golden Grail pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria103.695
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0037
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1235
SAESum of the absolute errors0.2202
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Golden Grail Technology price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Golden Grail. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Golden Grail

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Golden Grail Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0351.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0251.42
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Golden Grail. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Golden Grail's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Golden Grail's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Golden Grail Technology.

Golden Grail After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Golden Grail at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Golden Grail or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Golden Grail, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Golden Grail Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Golden Grail's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Golden Grail's historical news coverage. Golden Grail's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 51.43, respectively. We have considered Golden Grail's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.03
0.03
After-hype Price
51.43
Upside
Golden Grail is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Golden Grail Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.

Golden Grail Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Golden Grail is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Golden Grail backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Golden Grail, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  7.26 
54.39
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.03
0.03
7.14 
0.00  
Notes

Golden Grail Hype Timeline

Golden Grail Technology is currently traded for 0.03. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Golden is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.03 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price jump on the next news is estimated to be 7.14%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 7.26%. The volatility of related hype on Golden Grail is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.03. The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.04 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.04 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.04. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Golden Grail to cross-verify your projections.

Golden Grail Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Golden Grail's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Golden Grail's future price movements. Getting to know how Golden Grail's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Golden Grail may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
LTCPLifes Time Capsule 0.00 0 per month 7.24  0.04  13.85 (18.18) 100.83 
CRTDCreatd Inc 0.00 0 per month 8.45  0.15  26.67 (11.54) 117.39 
NUGLCoresource Strategies 0.00 0 per month 18.86  0.13  53.33 (38.46) 263.46 
LBUYLeafbuyer Technologies 0.00 0 per month 11.82  0.02  26.67 (19.05) 95.86 
QQQFFQuizam Media 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.05  0.00  0.00  83.88 
MRPTMacReportNet 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 0.00  0.00  45.66 
ARTMAmerican Nortel Communications 0.00 0 per month 8.93  0.05  26.61 (13.15) 91.51 
SEEKThedirectoryCom 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
TLDETld3 Entertainment Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.18) 0.00  0.00  63.41 
FMHSFarmhouse 0.00 0 per month 14.54  0.09  80.00 (44.44) 196.15 

Other Forecasting Options for Golden Grail

For every potential investor in Golden, whether a beginner or expert, Golden Grail's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Golden Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Golden. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Golden Grail's price trends.

Golden Grail Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Golden Grail pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Golden Grail could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Golden Grail by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Golden Grail Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Golden Grail pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Golden Grail shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Golden Grail pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Golden Grail Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Golden Grail Risk Indicators

The analysis of Golden Grail's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Golden Grail's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting golden pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Golden Grail

The number of cover stories for Golden Grail depends on current market conditions and Golden Grail's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Golden Grail is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Golden Grail's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Additional Tools for Golden Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Golden Grail's price analysis, check to measure Golden Grail's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Golden Grail is operating at the current time. Most of Golden Grail's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Golden Grail's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Golden Grail's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Golden Grail to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.