PT Intra Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| GOLF Stock | 204.00 2.00 0.99% |
Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using PT Intra hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PT Intra GolfLink from the perspective of PT Intra response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of PT Intra GolfLink on the next trading day is expected to be 204.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 14.90 and the sum of the absolute errors of 894.00. PT Intra after-hype prediction price | IDR 204.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
GOLF |
PT Intra Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine GOLF price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GOLF using various technical indicators. When you analyze GOLF charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
PT Intra Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of PT Intra GolfLink on the next trading day is expected to be 204.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 14.90, mean absolute percentage error of 508.73, and the sum of the absolute errors of 894.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GOLF Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PT Intra's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
PT Intra Stock Forecast Pattern
PT Intra Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting PT Intra's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PT Intra's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 196.00 and 212.00, respectively. We have considered PT Intra's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PT Intra stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PT Intra stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.5045 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0333 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 14.9 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0548 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 894.0 |
Predictive Modules for PT Intra
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PT Intra GolfLink. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.PT Intra Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
As far as predicting the price of PT Intra at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PT Intra or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PT Intra, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
PT Intra Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PT Intra is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PT Intra backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PT Intra, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.30 | 8.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
204.00 | 204.00 | 0.00 |
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PT Intra Hype Timeline
PT Intra GolfLink is currently traded for 204.00on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. GOLF is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.3%. %. The volatility of related hype on PT Intra is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 204.00. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.PT Intra Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PT Intra's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PT Intra's future price movements. Getting to know how PT Intra's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PT Intra may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JGLE | Graha Andrasentra Propertindo | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.76 | 0.26 | 9.76 | (9.62) | 20.00 | |
| EAST | Eastparc Hotel Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.58 | 0 | 2.86 | (2.41) | 22.54 | |
| BAYU | Bayu Buana Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.86 | (0.04) | 1.88 | (1.45) | 7.07 | |
| AKPI | Argha Karya Prima | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.61 | (2.63) | 8.16 | |
| SOTS | Satria Mega Kencana | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.95 | 0.19 | 24.87 | (12.68) | 39.93 | |
| IGAR | Champion Pacific Indonesia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.08 | (5.44) | 32.91 | |
| PDES | Destinasi Tirta Nusantara | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.72 | (4.55) | 14.77 | |
| YPAS | Yanaprima Hastapersada Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.12 | 0.08 | 24.58 | (10.29) | 39.06 | |
| ZONE | Mega Perintis Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.88 | (3.60) | 32.19 | |
| GDYR | Goodyear Indonesia Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.25 | (5.44) | 14.73 |
Other Forecasting Options for PT Intra
For every potential investor in GOLF, whether a beginner or expert, PT Intra's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GOLF Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GOLF. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PT Intra's price trends.PT Intra Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PT Intra stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PT Intra could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PT Intra by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
PT Intra Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PT Intra stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PT Intra shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PT Intra stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PT Intra GolfLink entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
PT Intra Risk Indicators
The analysis of PT Intra's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PT Intra's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting golf stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.21 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.87 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.76 | |||
| Variance | 60.15 | |||
| Downside Variance | 44.06 | |||
| Semi Variance | 34.5 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.66) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for PT Intra
The number of cover stories for PT Intra depends on current market conditions and PT Intra's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PT Intra is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PT Intra's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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