Gol Intelligent Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

GOQN Stock   0.42  0.00  0.00%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Gol Intelligent Airlines on the next trading day is expected to be 0.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Gol Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Gol Intelligent - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Gol Intelligent prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Gol Intelligent price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Gol Intelligent Airlines.

Gol Intelligent Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Gol Intelligent Airlines on the next trading day is expected to be 0.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gol Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gol Intelligent's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Gol Intelligent Stock Forecast Pattern

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Gol Intelligent Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Gol Intelligent's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gol Intelligent's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.42 and 0.42, respectively. We have considered Gol Intelligent's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.42
0.42
Expected Value
0.42
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gol Intelligent stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gol Intelligent stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Gol Intelligent observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Gol Intelligent Airlines observations.

Predictive Modules for Gol Intelligent

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gol Intelligent Airlines. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.420.420.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.350.350.46
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Gol Intelligent

For every potential investor in Gol, whether a beginner or expert, Gol Intelligent's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gol Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gol. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gol Intelligent's price trends.

Gol Intelligent Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gol Intelligent stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gol Intelligent could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gol Intelligent by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Gol Intelligent Airlines Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Gol Intelligent's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Gol Intelligent's current price.

Gol Intelligent Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gol Intelligent stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gol Intelligent shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gol Intelligent stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Gol Intelligent Airlines entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Gol Stock Analysis

When running Gol Intelligent's price analysis, check to measure Gol Intelligent's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gol Intelligent is operating at the current time. Most of Gol Intelligent's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gol Intelligent's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gol Intelligent's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gol Intelligent to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.