Lazydays Holdings Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

Lazydays Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lazydays price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lazydays using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lazydays charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Lazydays Holdings is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Lazydays Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Lazydays Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lazydays Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.38.

Lazydays Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Lazydays Holdings

Lazydays Holdings Price Prediction

Buy or Sell Advice

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lazydays Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lazydays Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Lazydays Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Lazydays Holdings. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Lazydays Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lazydays Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 0.02 0.48 14.54 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 0.02 0.40 14.46 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 0.43 1.68 2.94 Details

Lazydays Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Lazydays Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Lazydays Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Lazydays Holdings Hype Timeline

Lazydays Holdings is currently traded for 0.42. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -1.2. Lazydays is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.48 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 14.29%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -5.58%. The volatility of related hype on Lazydays Holdings is about 6539.53%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -0.78. Lazydays Holdings currently holds 494.28 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.02, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Lazydays Holdings has a current ratio of 0.5, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Lazydays Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.

Lazydays Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Lazydays Holdings Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Lazydays Holdings Market Strength Events

Lazydays Holdings Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Lazydays Holdings

Lazydays Holdings Short Properties

Other Consideration for investing in Lazydays Stock