GP Act Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| GPAT Stock | 10.74 0.02 0.19% |
GPAT Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of GP Act's stock price is slightly above 62. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling GPAT, making its price go up or down. Momentum 62
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.15) |
Using GP Act hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GP Act III Acquisition from the perspective of GP Act response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of GP Act III Acquisition on the next trading day is expected to be 10.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.56. GP Act after-hype prediction price | USD 10.74 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GP Act to cross-verify your projections. GP Act Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine GPAT price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GPAT using various technical indicators. When you analyze GPAT charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
GP Act Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of GP Act III Acquisition on the next trading day is expected to be 10.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.56.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GPAT Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GP Act's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
GP Act Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest GP Act | GP Act Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
GP Act Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting GP Act's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GP Act's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.59 and 10.89, respectively. We have considered GP Act's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GP Act stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GP Act stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 107.8574 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.002 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0093 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 9.0E-4 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.5562 |
Predictive Modules for GP Act
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GP Act III. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.GP Act After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of GP Act at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GP Act or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of GP Act, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
GP Act Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting GP Act's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GP Act's historical news coverage. GP Act's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.59 and 10.89, respectively. We have considered GP Act's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
GP Act is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GP Act III is based on 3 months time horizon.
GP Act Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as GP Act is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GP Act backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GP Act, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
10.74 | 10.74 | 0.00 |
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GP Act Hype Timeline
GP Act III is currently traded for 10.74. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. GPAT is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on GP Act is about 483.87%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.74. About 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.32. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. GP Act III had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GP Act to cross-verify your projections.GP Act Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to GP Act's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GP Act's future price movements. Getting to know how GP Act's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GP Act may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ALF | Centurion Acquisition Corp | 0.02 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.43) | 0.38 | (0.28) | 0.85 | |
| TACO | Berto Acquisition Corp | 0.00 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 0.30 | (0.29) | 4.06 | |
| HYAC | Haymaker Acquisition Corp | 0.03 | 9 per month | 0.12 | (0.38) | 0.35 | (0.26) | 0.97 | |
| BEAG | Bold Eagle Acquisition | 0.00 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 0.94 | (0.75) | 2.92 | |
| CEPT | Cantor Equity Partners | 0.05 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.18 | (2.43) | 10.55 | |
| VACH | Voyager Acquisition Corp | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.34) | 0.29 | (0.19) | 1.14 | |
| MBAV | M3 Brigade Acquisition V | 0.21 | 9 per month | 0.36 | (0.15) | 0.47 | (0.28) | 3.98 | |
| GIG | GigCapital7 Corp Class | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.45) | 0.28 | (0.73) | 1.86 | |
| CCIX | Churchill Capital Corp | (0.01) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 0.38 | (0.37) | 1.69 | |
| RDAG | Republic Digital Acquisition | (0.01) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.45) | 0.29 | (0.39) | 1.18 |
Other Forecasting Options for GP Act
For every potential investor in GPAT, whether a beginner or expert, GP Act's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GPAT Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GPAT. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GP Act's price trends.GP Act Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GP Act stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GP Act could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GP Act by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
GP Act Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GP Act stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GP Act shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GP Act stock market strength indicators, traders can identify GP Act III Acquisition entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
GP Act Risk Indicators
The analysis of GP Act's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GP Act's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gpat stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.0868 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.149 | |||
| Variance | 0.0222 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0689 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.19) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for GP Act
The number of cover stories for GP Act depends on current market conditions and GP Act's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GP Act is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GP Act's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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GP Act Short Properties
GP Act's future price predictability will typically decrease when GP Act's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of GP Act III Acquisition often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential GP Act's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GP Act's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 18.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 483.6 K | |
| Shares Float | 28.8 M |
Additional Tools for GPAT Stock Analysis
When running GP Act's price analysis, check to measure GP Act's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GP Act is operating at the current time. Most of GP Act's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GP Act's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GP Act's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GP Act to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.