Danone SA OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

GPDNF Stock  USD 91.10  0.04  0.04%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Danone SA on the next trading day is expected to be 92.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.97 and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.07. Danone OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Danone SA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 2nd of January 2026 the value of rsi of Danone SA's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Danone SA stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Danone SA shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Danone SA's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Danone SA and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Danone SA's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Danone SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Danone SA based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Danone SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Danone SA from the perspective of Danone SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Danone SA on the next trading day is expected to be 92.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.97 and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.07.

Danone SA after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 91.1  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Danone SA to cross-verify your projections.

Danone SA Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Danone price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Danone using various technical indicators. When you analyze Danone charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Danone SA is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Danone SA value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Danone SA Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Danone SA on the next trading day is expected to be 92.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.97, mean absolute percentage error of 1.45, and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.07.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Danone OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Danone SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Danone SA OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Danone SADanone SA Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Danone SA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Danone SA's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Danone SA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 90.93 and 93.36, respectively. We have considered Danone SA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
91.10
92.15
Expected Value
93.36
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Danone SA otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Danone SA otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.4823
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.9684
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0108
SAESum of the absolute errors59.0725
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Danone SA. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Danone SA. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Danone SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Danone SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
89.8791.1092.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
81.99105.25106.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
88.0490.1592.27
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Danone SA

For every potential investor in Danone, whether a beginner or expert, Danone SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Danone OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Danone. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Danone SA's price trends.

Danone SA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Danone SA otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Danone SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Danone SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Danone SA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Danone SA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Danone SA's current price.

Danone SA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Danone SA otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Danone SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Danone SA otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Danone SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Danone SA Risk Indicators

The analysis of Danone SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Danone SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting danone otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Danone OTC Stock

Danone SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Danone OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Danone with respect to the benefits of owning Danone SA security.