Guidepath Growth Mutual Fund Forecast - Naive Prediction

GPIGX Fund  USD 12.62  0.13  1.04%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Guidepath Growth And on the next trading day is expected to be 12.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.97. Guidepath Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Guidepath Growth's share price is approaching 35. This usually indicates that the mutual fund is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Guidepath Growth, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 35

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Guidepath Growth's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Guidepath Growth And, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Guidepath Growth hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Guidepath Growth And from the perspective of Guidepath Growth response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Guidepath Growth And on the next trading day is expected to be 12.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.97.

Guidepath Growth after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Guidepath Growth to cross-verify your projections.

Guidepath Growth Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Guidepath price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Guidepath using various technical indicators. When you analyze Guidepath charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Guidepath Growth is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Guidepath Growth And value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Guidepath Growth Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 10th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Guidepath Growth And on the next trading day is expected to be 12.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.97.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Guidepath Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Guidepath Growth's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Guidepath Growth Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Guidepath GrowthGuidepath Growth Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Guidepath Growth Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Guidepath Growth's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Guidepath Growth's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.17 and 14.32, respectively. We have considered Guidepath Growth's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.62
12.75
Expected Value
14.32
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Guidepath Growth mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Guidepath Growth mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.0792
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.177
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0132
SAESum of the absolute errors10.9736
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Guidepath Growth And. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Guidepath Growth. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Guidepath Growth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guidepath Growth And. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.001.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.001.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
11.8113.3314.85
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Guidepath Growth. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Guidepath Growth's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Guidepath Growth's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Guidepath Growth And.

Other Forecasting Options for Guidepath Growth

For every potential investor in Guidepath, whether a beginner or expert, Guidepath Growth's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Guidepath Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Guidepath. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Guidepath Growth's price trends.

Guidepath Growth Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Guidepath Growth mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Guidepath Growth could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Guidepath Growth by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Guidepath Growth And Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Guidepath Growth's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Guidepath Growth's current price.

Guidepath Growth Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Guidepath Growth mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Guidepath Growth shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Guidepath Growth mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Guidepath Growth And entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Guidepath Growth Risk Indicators

The analysis of Guidepath Growth's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Guidepath Growth's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting guidepath mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Guidepath Mutual Fund

Guidepath Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guidepath Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guidepath with respect to the benefits of owning Guidepath Growth security.
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