Great Panther Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Great Panther Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 0.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Great Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Great Panther's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Great Panther - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Great Panther prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Great Panther price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Great Panther Mining.

Great Panther Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Great Panther Mining on the next trading day is expected to be 0.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Great Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Great Panther's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Great Panther Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Great Panther Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Great Panther's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Great Panther's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Great Panther's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.00
0.00
Expected Value
0.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Great Panther pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Great Panther pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Great Panther observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Great Panther Mining observations.

Predictive Modules for Great Panther

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Great Panther Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Great Panther's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
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Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Great Panther

For every potential investor in Great, whether a beginner or expert, Great Panther's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Great Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Great. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Great Panther's price trends.

Great Panther Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Great Panther pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Great Panther could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Great Panther by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Great Panther Mining Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Great Panther's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Great Panther's current price.

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Other Information on Investing in Great Pink Sheet

Great Panther financial ratios help investors to determine whether Great Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Great with respect to the benefits of owning Great Panther security.