Grupo Bimbo Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

GRBMF Stock  USD 3.60  0.24  7.14%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Grupo Bimbo SAB on the next trading day is expected to be 3.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.71. Grupo Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Grupo Bimbo's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Grupo Bimbo's share price is at 59. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Grupo Bimbo, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 59

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Grupo Bimbo's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Grupo Bimbo and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Grupo Bimbo's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Grupo Bimbo SAB, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Grupo Bimbo hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Grupo Bimbo SAB from the perspective of Grupo Bimbo response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Grupo Bimbo SAB on the next trading day is expected to be 3.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.71.

Grupo Bimbo after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 3.6  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Grupo Bimbo to cross-verify your projections.

Grupo Bimbo Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Grupo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Grupo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Grupo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Grupo Bimbo is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Grupo Bimbo SAB value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Grupo Bimbo Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Grupo Bimbo SAB on the next trading day is expected to be 3.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.71.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Grupo Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Grupo Bimbo's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Grupo Bimbo Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Grupo BimboGrupo Bimbo Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Grupo Bimbo Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Grupo Bimbo's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Grupo Bimbo's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.94 and 6.47, respectively. We have considered Grupo Bimbo's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.60
3.70
Expected Value
6.47
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Grupo Bimbo pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Grupo Bimbo pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.0381
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0609
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0184
SAESum of the absolute errors3.7133
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Grupo Bimbo SAB. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Grupo Bimbo. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Grupo Bimbo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grupo Bimbo SAB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.863.606.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.865.60
Details

Grupo Bimbo After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Grupo Bimbo at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Grupo Bimbo or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Grupo Bimbo, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Grupo Bimbo Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Grupo Bimbo's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Grupo Bimbo's historical news coverage. Grupo Bimbo's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.86 and 6.34, respectively. We have considered Grupo Bimbo's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3.60
3.60
After-hype Price
6.34
Upside
Grupo Bimbo is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Grupo Bimbo SAB is based on 3 months time horizon.

Grupo Bimbo Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Grupo Bimbo is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Grupo Bimbo backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Grupo Bimbo, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.10 
2.76
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3.60
3.60
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Grupo Bimbo Hype Timeline

Grupo Bimbo SAB is currently traded for 3.60. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Grupo is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on Grupo Bimbo is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.60. About 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Grupo Bimbo was currently reported as 23.08. The company last dividend was issued on the 23rd of November 2022. Grupo Bimbo SAB had 4:1 split on the 25th of April 2011. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Grupo Bimbo to cross-verify your projections.

Grupo Bimbo Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Grupo Bimbo's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Grupo Bimbo's future price movements. Getting to know how Grupo Bimbo's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Grupo Bimbo may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
KRYAYKerry Group PLC 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.22) 1.65 (2.35) 5.89 
KRYAFKerry Group plc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 0.00 (1.14) 7.99 
JDEPFJDE Peets NV 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.25) 0.00  0.00  2.45 
AJINYAjinomoto Co ADR 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 2.55 (2.98) 14.19 
WHGLYWH Group Ltd 0.00 0 per month 1.19  0.12  3.11 (2.27) 7.68 
CVPUFCP ALL Public 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
MTRAFMetro Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.85 (0.01) 1.85 (2.28) 6.57 
WLMIYWilmar International 0.00 0 per month 0.78  0.05  1.82 (1.23) 6.53 
BDWBFBudweiser Brewing 0.00 0 per month 3.45 (0.02) 7.37 (8.26) 24.88 
WLMIFWilmar International Limited 0.00 0 per month 3.50 (0.01) 7.08 (8.05) 25.58 

Other Forecasting Options for Grupo Bimbo

For every potential investor in Grupo, whether a beginner or expert, Grupo Bimbo's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Grupo Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Grupo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Grupo Bimbo's price trends.

Grupo Bimbo Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Grupo Bimbo pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Grupo Bimbo could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Grupo Bimbo by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Grupo Bimbo Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Grupo Bimbo pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Grupo Bimbo shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Grupo Bimbo pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Grupo Bimbo SAB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Grupo Bimbo Risk Indicators

The analysis of Grupo Bimbo's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Grupo Bimbo's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting grupo pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Grupo Bimbo

The number of cover stories for Grupo Bimbo depends on current market conditions and Grupo Bimbo's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Grupo Bimbo is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Grupo Bimbo's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Grupo Pink Sheet

Grupo Bimbo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Grupo Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Grupo with respect to the benefits of owning Grupo Bimbo security.