Grenergy Renovables Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| GRE Stock | EUR 94.50 2.00 2.16% |
Grenergy Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Grenergy Renovables stock prices and determine the direction of Grenergy Renovables SA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Grenergy Renovables' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of Grenergy Renovables' stock price is about 61. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Grenergy, making its price go up or down. Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Grenergy Renovables hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Grenergy Renovables SA from the perspective of Grenergy Renovables response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Grenergy Renovables SA on the next trading day is expected to be 95.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.83 and the sum of the absolute errors of 237.24. Grenergy Renovables after-hype prediction price | EUR 94.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Grenergy |
Grenergy Renovables Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Grenergy price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Grenergy using various technical indicators. When you analyze Grenergy charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Grenergy Renovables Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Grenergy Renovables SA on the next trading day is expected to be 95.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.83, mean absolute percentage error of 20.86, and the sum of the absolute errors of 237.24.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Grenergy Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Grenergy Renovables' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Grenergy Renovables Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Grenergy Renovables | Grenergy Renovables Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Grenergy Renovables Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Grenergy Renovables' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Grenergy Renovables' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 93.44 and 98.06, respectively. We have considered Grenergy Renovables' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Grenergy Renovables stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Grenergy Renovables stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.9864 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.8264 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0496 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 237.2365 |
Predictive Modules for Grenergy Renovables
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grenergy Renovables. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Grenergy Renovables After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Grenergy Renovables at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Grenergy Renovables or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Grenergy Renovables, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Grenergy Renovables Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Grenergy Renovables' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Grenergy Renovables' historical news coverage. Grenergy Renovables' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 92.20 and 96.80, respectively. We have considered Grenergy Renovables' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Grenergy Renovables is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Grenergy Renovables is based on 3 months time horizon.
Grenergy Renovables Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Grenergy Renovables is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Grenergy Renovables backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Grenergy Renovables, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.36 | 2.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
94.50 | 94.50 | 0.00 |
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Grenergy Renovables Hype Timeline
Grenergy Renovables is currently traded for 94.50on Madrid Exchange of Spain. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Grenergy is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.36%. %. The volatility of related hype on Grenergy Renovables is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 94.50. About 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Grenergy Renovables was currently reported as 8.3. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Grenergy Renovables to cross-verify your projections.Grenergy Renovables Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Grenergy Renovables' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Grenergy Renovables' future price movements. Getting to know how Grenergy Renovables' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Grenergy Renovables may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TRE | Tecnicas Reunidas | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.16 | 0.01 | 3.87 | (2.66) | 12.68 | |
| CAF | Construcciones y Auxiliar | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.62 | 0.02 | 3.13 | (2.79) | 10.75 | |
| ENO | Elecnor SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.54 | (2.29) | 15.79 | |
| IMC | Inmocemento SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.39 | 0.06 | 2.86 | (2.82) | 8.67 | |
| PSG | Prosegur | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.44 | (0.01) | 2.70 | (1.95) | 7.42 | |
| SCYR | Sacyr SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.55 | 0.02 | 1.80 | (2.33) | 9.00 | |
| NEA | Nicolas Correa SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.62 | (2.87) | 9.71 | |
| CASH | Prosegur Cash SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 1.61 | (3.08) | 7.52 | |
| FDR | Fluidra | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.26 | (0.03) | 1.94 | (2.19) | 5.25 | |
| GSJ | Grupo Empresarial San | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.95 | 0.17 | 3.38 | (1.97) | 7.97 |
Other Forecasting Options for Grenergy Renovables
For every potential investor in Grenergy, whether a beginner or expert, Grenergy Renovables' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Grenergy Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Grenergy. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Grenergy Renovables' price trends.Grenergy Renovables Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Grenergy Renovables stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Grenergy Renovables could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Grenergy Renovables by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Grenergy Renovables Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Grenergy Renovables stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Grenergy Renovables shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Grenergy Renovables stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Grenergy Renovables SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Grenergy Renovables Risk Indicators
The analysis of Grenergy Renovables' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Grenergy Renovables' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting grenergy stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.64 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.67 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.26 | |||
| Variance | 5.13 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.1 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.8 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.98) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Grenergy Renovables
The number of cover stories for Grenergy Renovables depends on current market conditions and Grenergy Renovables' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Grenergy Renovables is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Grenergy Renovables' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Grenergy Renovables Short Properties
Grenergy Renovables' future price predictability will typically decrease when Grenergy Renovables' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Grenergy Renovables SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Grenergy Renovables' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Grenergy Renovables' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 23.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 68.7 M |
Other Information on Investing in Grenergy Stock
Grenergy Renovables financial ratios help investors to determine whether Grenergy Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Grenergy with respect to the benefits of owning Grenergy Renovables security.